I’d like to share a You Tube channel I have been enjoying – Rare Earth here’s their latest one
- I recommend dipping into their back catalogue and balanced world view…
(the 5-part series on the Balkans was excellent – now compiled into a long version )
The channel started with the Hadfield family – You may well remember Dad, Chris singing ‘Space Oddity’ on the ISS
The topless man sitting on his porch with a bong was not included in the tally.
Things are getting serious here, they’ve closed outdoor gyms! Also, households of more than two people are now strongly discouraged. If you’re a couple with three or more kids it’s time to pick the two you like most and take one each :)
the Government is now strongly advising against indoor or outdoor gatherings with more than one other person. But Mr Morrison said the measures were not yet legally binding.
So it’s like Aotearoa, except without the legal protections for people who would like to follow those instructions.
Can someone pop down to parliament and run off a few copies of that nice Ms Ardern for us? One per state and a couple for Canberra would be a good start (I actually think she could get elected here).
Here's an acapella classic to cheer you up:
Linger: thanks for that, I spent the previous 2 weeks talking my son down from his planned trip to Japan (he had been in the Jet program for 2 years there), luckily we did finally manage to convince him
Meanwhile, my university seems to be lumbering towards a decision to Bring The Students Back! whether they want to come back or not, and even if this might increase the risk to each student.
NZ: rate of increase in cases starting to slow March 29th (Wikipedia page);
Japan: daily figures last updated on Wikipedia March 27th, showing a slight increase in rate at that time.
I may be biassed here, but I know whose approach I trust more.
Interestingly, NZ recovery totals seem to be tracking case totals 7 days prior, suggesting a weeklong course of disease from diagnosis to recovery, on average. This does not match the figures observed in Japan, which suggests that some Japanese cases are going untreated and unreported, and as a result the statistics are being skewed toward the most severe (longest-recovery) cases. But there may well be other confounding factors, such as differences in age distribution of travellers exposed to Covid19 overseas, and differences in smoking rate and so severity of symptoms.
So far almost all of our cases have been imported, most directly into 2 weeks quarantine - I suspect that that messes with how it changes here (hopefully to our advantage) - it's possible that a lot of the rise in numbers we're seeing right now have been generated by the rises in the countries those people came from.
We've been told not to expect the numbers to really turn for a couple of weeks and to not read too much into the recent numbers - it's likely to get worse before it better
Good hand cleanliness and distancing yourself from others are key to avoiding this virus:
At least in Auckland it does. My wife has been reasigned from the CADS detox unit which has been shut down to AODS in CADS South. All discussions are by phone rather than in person but the team are still having to work from site at the moment.
My daughter Catherine Rose, who lives and teaches in Shibuya, has been ranting about the casual attitude in Japan to the virus. She has more students to teach and says the company she works for is resisting the idea of paying salaries in the event of closure. In the meantime, her sideline of modelling is on hold.
My employer in Australia is being very blunt: I can choose to work from home, but if there are any problems I have to come in to the office. Any costs incurred are entirely mine, and I should be grateful that they are being so reasonable about my silly panic. If Russel gives us a rant thread I have things to say about their attitude 🤬
I'm rather enjoying this little polemic:
Awesome, deserves to go, uh, viral.
Can someone pop down to parliament and run off a few copies of that nice Ms Ardern for us?
Monoclonal PMs would have the slogan "I'm unity"
Now we just need something to mop up the 'free radicals' who think they can do whatever they want in the community at this point in time...
Nice to see the community popping up again. Be nice to see a few more of the old faces here too.
Without wishing to be depressing I wanted to link this article.
It’s been doing the rounds and is pretty clear on what is guesswork and what is known which is a refreshing change.
We’re stuck at home doing some work stuff as we can. Concentration is utterly shot. Hopefully we’ll be allowed in to work to prevent some of our precious plants from dying but for now we’re locked out.
Anyway stay safe all.
For us, this is day #14 of isolation with our daughter who returned from Germany after four years away. Entering isolation two weeks ago, we agreed that 4:20pm today would be our official first hugs & cuddles time. That seemed appropriate.
We've played it by the book throughout and to be honest, it hasn't been as difficult as we'd first expected. It helps that we live at a beach and self-isolation is pretty much a lifestyle option most days anyway.
I'll miss the little dance we perform every time we move outdoors together, however our group decision to work along with TVNZ's exercises for 4-5 year olds this afternoon is likely to be vetoed in the future. Fuck, your average four year old must be fit!
Less than an hour to go! ;-)
The first trip in 8 days outside the gate, to deliver a bag of homegrown bananas and feijoas to a friend’s letterbox. Rode the West Rail Trail which follows the rails and skirts Lake Rotoroa, Rather good.
Highlights from Japan’s coronavirus response, Mar 24-31
Excerpted from the Japan Times Covid roundup page
Tokyo logs 41 new cases.
Tokyo Gov. Yuriko Koike asks people to avoid going outside over the weekend for nonessential reasons.
In response, Tokyo shoppers rush out and panic buy.
Tokyo Gov. Yuriko Koike urges residents to refrain from hoarding food at supermarkets, assuring them supply and distribution lines have been and are functioning as usual.
Tokyo logs 63 new cases.
In a dire warning, Prime Minister Abe urges vigilance to avoid a COVID-19 spike that could overwhelm hospitals, and vows extraordinary steps to support the Japanese economy.
Tokyo logs 68 new cases.
The government’s top spokesman, Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga, denies rumors of an imminent lockdown of Tokyo. Suga also refutes the idea that crowding in government meetings (see photo) was inconsistent with the government's requests for social distancing.
Thanks Linger. There is so much bad news worldwide at the moment, some of it predictable thanks to state incompetence. The chaos currently raging through the US, the UK suffering the consequences of someone's failed 'herd immunity' strategy and whatever hell may be about to befall Sweden. But I certainly didn't expect Japan to mess this up.
Like Korea and Singapore you'd expect Japan to take a more science-based, evidential approach to pandemics.
I hope you're safely hunkered down somewhere?
Hi PA community. It's been a while, but this lockdown has spurred a fresh wave of enthusiasm for photographing small objects. Will this enthusiasm last as long as the lockdown?? Hard to say.
Maybe a good excuse for a pictorial thread.
We'll see. It may be one more pleasant distraction for all of you hunkered down at home.
Maybe a good excuse for a pictorial thread.
We could club in on one. I have two or three lockdown shots I'd let out in public.
Good one Russell, I'm onto it.... :)
As so often, XKCD has the apt quotation:
When i was young I spent quite a few years overseas. Deciding to come back I went to the NZ embassy in Paris. Sat down to wait and saw besides me a pile of Listeners.
For some reason that particular memory has always remained vivid.
...someone’s failed ‘herd immunity’ strategy
Or 'Herd mentality' as I heard Trump refer to it as, today (he also 'misheard' a question about the rise in 'Domestic violence' as 'Mexican violence' - he never misses a chance...)
Forget 'Dunning / Kruger' I'd like to see the UK's skyrocketing 'death line curve' referred to as the 'Cummings / Johnson Death Curve' - those two infectees deserve such an honour. (Sorry for the 'reckons' - I'll take the Karma-hit).
Stunned to see Bauer pull the plug on their NZ operations - Opportunism on their part I suspect - but my sympathies and commiserations go out to all staff affected, some of whom are within this 'bubble community'.
I've just realised that there's a complete album of all my friends online:
(my response to Charlie Stross claiming that his sock puppet accounts were real people and he had photos of them)