The accuracy of forecasts

  • jon_knox,

    I happened to listen to an interview with Prof Philip Tetlock a couple of weeks ago, in which he talks about the insights arising from a longitudinal study on the accuracy of political forecasts, which the BBC subsequently archived (= removed).

    So instead of snappy 8 minutes of Prof Tetlock that the BBC have hidden, here's a much more in depth look at the insights and the many wrinkles that exist gathered from nearly 2 decades studying the accuracy of political forecasts.

    I think the distinction between hedgehogs and foxes is an important one to understand and develop.

    Belgium • Since Nov 2006 • 464 posts Report Reply

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