Hard News by Russell Brown

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Hard News: Fact and fantasy

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  • Farmer Green,

    Steve B: "Blind fools! Why can't they see? I've got it! I've got The Way!
    Doesn't anybody want The Way?

    FB: "increasingly fewer Steve"

    "Disillusioned saviours search the sky
    Wanting just to show someone the Way
    Asking all the people passing by
    'doesn't anybody want The Way' "

    Lower North Island • Since Nov 2012 • 778 posts Report

  • Farmer Green, in reply to Knowledge Bro,


    ". . . you take the new data you just gathered during testing and adjust your hypothesis and repeat. Eventually, you end up at a model that fits. "

    Well , we do hope that this can be achieved , but it is still some way in the future.

    " Ok, the prediction models may be wrong, but that’s what science is isn’t it? "

    That has been clear for some time. Statements about "settled science " in relation to the GCMs were ignorant at best; lies at worst.

    " The argument is and always has been about whether we humans are influencing climate change or not. It is pretty much universally accepted that global warming is occurring, and has been for some time."

    Yes, for about 200 years if the starting point is the LIA.

    For tens of thousands of years if the starting point is the end of the last glaciation.

    A good thing too.

    Lower North Island • Since Nov 2012 • 778 posts Report

  • Farmer Green,

    After reviewing the scientific literature the reports concludes that the standstill is an empirical fact and a reality that challenges current climate models. During the time that the Earth’s global temperature has remained static the atmospheric composition of carbon dioxide has increased from 370 to 390 ppm.

    “The standstill is a reality and is not the result of cherry-picking start and end points. Its commencement can be seen clearly in the data, and it continues to this day,” said Dr David Whitehouse, the author of the new report.

    The report shows that the temperature standstill has been a much discussed topic in peer-reviewed scientific literature for years, but that this scientific debate has neither been followed by most of the media, nor acknowledged by climate campaigners, scientific societies and prominent scientists.

    The report also surveys how those few journalists who have looked at the issue have been reporting the standstill, with many far too ready to dismiss it or lacking a sense of journalistic inquiry, preferring to reports squabbles rather than the science.

    ”If the standstill continues for a few more years it will mean that no one who has just reached adulthood, or younger, will have witnessed the Earth get warmer during their lifetime,” said the report’s author, Dr David Whitehouse.

    In his foreword, Lord Turnbull, former Cabinet Secretary and Head of the Home Civil Service, commented:

    “Dr Whitehouse is a man who deserves to be listened to. He has consistently followed an approach of examining observations rather than projections of large scale computer models, which are too often cited as ‘evidence’. He looks dispassionately at the data, trying to establish what message it tells us, rather than using it to confirm a pre-held view.”

    Lower North Island • Since Nov 2012 • 778 posts Report

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