Posts by linger
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You might suspect that voter turnout was correlated with support for Lockwood. This is broadly true across all electorates; but the graph suggests a major divide between two clusters of electorates: a smaller cluster with turnout below 52% and support below 35% (which includes all of the Māori electorates); and a larger cluster with turnout above 55% and support in the 36-52% range. Within each cluster, the trend is less clear.
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Legal Beagle: The flag referendum:…, in reply to Ben Austin,
Not too surprisingly, the Lockwood flag was strikingly unpopular in the Māori electorates – accounting for 7 of the 8 electorates where it had lowest support among those who voted. The lowest support rates for the Lockwood by electorate were: 21.1% in Te Tai Tokerau; 22.1% in Tāmaki Makaurau; 22.6% in Ikaroa-Rāwhiti; 23.8% in Waiariki; 25.4% in Hauraki-Waikato; 25.9% in Te Tai Hauāuru; 28.9% in Māngere; 31.9% in Te Tai Tonga.
Considering the implications of the partnership between Crown and Māori, I suggest that any future attempt to change the flag should require the replacement to receive a majority of votes both in general and (also, specifically) in Māori electorates. A new flag has to be something that Māori can accept as representing and including themselves; otherwise, how can it possibly function as a symbol of national unity?
Conversely, the Lockwood flag actually achieved a majority of votes cast only in the following six electorates:
Clutha-Southland (50.4%); Ilam (50.8%); East Coast Bays (51.1%); Bay of Plenty (51.4%); Selwyn (51.7%); Tāmaki (51.9%).
Regardless of the high voter turnout in solidly National electorates, I would suggest that the overwhelmingly consistent direction of results should not be that encouraging for the National party. -
Polity: Home-spun non-truths, in reply to izogi,
his expression makes reality, oh yeah:
like a larva spinning yarn out of its rear. -
Legal Beagle: The Teapot Moan Scandal…, in reply to Graeme Edgeler,
Now I’m confused.
In the teapot case, was Key sued for defamation as a Member of Parliament? -
Hard News: More than a bang on the head, in reply to Ian Dalziel,
As long as the Left remembers to roll out policy plans in an order
sorted for ease and whizz. -
Legal Beagle: The flag referendum:…, in reply to Ben Austin,
1.9 million as of yesterday, and well on target to exceed 2 million.
It’s not exactly a surprise that this referendum, with a potentially tangible outcome, is being taken a bit more seriously than the initial selection between hard-to-distinguish hypotheticals that not too many were very highly invested in. -
Speaker: Are we seeing the end of MSM,…, in reply to Ian Dalziel,
Either way the term is a figleaf.
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Edwards does at least identify those mysterious "prominent academics"
from Victoria University (Jack Vowles and Kaapua Smith) and the University of Auckland (Jennifer Lees-Marshment and Danny Osborne)
Any of them reachable for comment?
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Polity: Global behemoths and tax, in reply to Simon Lyall,
Which if any of those hypothetical scenarios bears any resemblance to reality?
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Speaker: Are we seeing the end of MSM,…, in reply to Ian Dalziel,
so it’s not just a merkinism for the act of rendering someone impotent?
