Posts by KevinHicks
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The evidence for all my assertions is summarised in the links I gave with references to the originals statistics so you can check for yourself, dont beleive me.
We have a very high crime rate both relative to many other countries and relative to our own past.
We have a high imprisonment rate because we have a high serious crime rate relative to many other countries - this despite the fact that the rate of imprisonment per 100 crimes has falleen 6-fold since the 1950s.
I don't misunderstand exponential and the graph is in my document, from oficial NZ government statistics so it will be an underestimate of the real violent crime rate.
The evidence that the is a low rate of type one error (convicted when actually not guilty) and really bad bad error (convicted when innocent) is the low rate of ovdderturn of sentences despite it being a national passtime second only to rugby and pokey machines to try to make a name for yourself getting people off....well I suppose you could argue the ambitious people choose the wrong people to try to get off...:)
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White wellington liberal excuses are not causes. If they were causes all Maori would be in prison, but my children are not. The will not identify properly with Maori because of the bad press which is sad. The elite will not let us assign 75% European and 25% Maori if a quarter Maori wants to identify as Maori because then they would loose their power base.
Yes we need to talk and discuss - we have every ethnicity in neighbourhood support with many Maori, as does Garth in SST. But most of all we need to stop the excusing - when the excusing stops the killing will too.
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Sorry try this
http://newzealandcrimewatch.blogspot.com/2009/01/we-are-world-leader-in-crime.html
http://www.neighbourhoodsupport.org/articles/UnderstandingCrimeRateStatistics.pdf
Both are from me but both referreence the original statistics (ingernational crime victimisation survey and Statitics NZ) so its all varifiable.
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Well they got these riots because they were soft on crime and cared more for the criminals than the victims (the USA pioneered these attitudes, then realised they were wrong and left us copy cats to suffer). We can stop it here if we care more for the victim than the crim.
If restorative justice was run properly it would be good for minor offences and fiorst time offenders but in NZ it is run by ex crims and their bureacratic and devout apologists so its cuppa time. For serious offenders, how do you "restore" a murdered person?
http://newzealandcrimewatch.blogspot.com/2008/07/ah-political-allegory.html
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The best evidence of NZs high crime rate available is here
http://newzealandcrimewatch.blogspot.com/2009/01/would-you-believe-this-politician.html
with links to the latest international comparison of victimisation carried out survey methods independently of the authorities so it doesn’t rely on reported crime rates. NZ figures in the top 15 for all crime and often in the top 3 for individual crimes. Figures from the statistics and justice department show that violent crime is increasing by any measure (recorded, prosecuted, convicted) and it is really only minor crime that is falling. However the nambies in our court system are prosecuting and convicting less people overall. See
http://www.neighbourhoodsupport.org/articles/UnderstandingCrimeRateStatistics.pdf.
In other words the crime rate is falling but the crimes are getting worse which explains our increased prison population, not increased punitiveness. France, the Netherlands and many Asian countries now have travel warnings out about our crime.
I am a several generation NZ mongrel whose forebears were thrown out of all the best countries of Europe and have every right to live here and be left alone by our crims (“crime is not OK” :)) and my wife and children are part Maori. The racist card is a straw man trotted out by desperate crim excusers since we have a high Maori crime rate purely because ethnicity is self reported and if percent ethnicity was used the figures would evaporate into the thin air that they are. This is not allowed by the political elite however, so my kids must be tarred with the spurious feather that Maori are over represented in crime. In fact those over-represented in crime are intergenerational users of the welfare system that pays criminals to raise criminals, and it has nothing to do with race or ethnicity.
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Err NZ is in the top 15 countries in the world for crime victimisation. We have a very high crime rate, thats why it gets reported. We also have a falling conviction count and a low rate of not guilty people serving either community or prison sentences. He have always had almost none serving sentences for which they were actually innocent.
Although its a FACT that the violent crime rate is still going up exponentially despite what you may say and think I hope the media chase it all the way down to zero. There is one simple way to stop the media reporting sensational crimes - thats for the crims (real-contumelious-little-turds) to stop B(*&(* commiting them, simple.
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Yes, well done. I'm sure I'm preaching to the converted (with the good standard of debate here) but a timely reminder that "not guilty" is a world away from "innocent" is in order. So I'll give that part of the show a (sort of) 1/3 which aint bad.
Crimewise in NZ the media are definitely heroes, and we would be a lot worse off without them and their freedom. [Less than heroic in other oversenationalised areas though]. I bet there has been much knuckle-crunching and nashing of teeth over the last 18 years in particular (behind closed doors and out of email contact) in the beehive about how they could better gag them on crime issues, but they've stood their ground and for that they do deserve our respect and admiration.
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That is Stoddard's very tongue in cheek application for sycophant of the year. It should see him move up the pbulic seervice very rapidly. What esle is a VUW pol studies graduate to do? Be objective? Yeah ...
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This is bollix, has nothing whatsoever to do with science communication and is just an example of how low even our science centres will go to be patsies for the government in order to keep the grant dollars flowing. It does you no credit to report it when it is no better than an emotional outburst you may read in a tabloid.
Proof positive that universities are no longer the "conscience of society" but are the "conscience of the government"
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When the government tries to slip so much under the radar screen to shaft the us, I would have thought only taking 6 weeks to catch up with this fiasco is pretty darn good for the public.