Posts by bbrooks

  • Speaker: Darkness in New York,

    No Republican has ever won the White House without Ohio, and 538 rate it as the third most likely tipping point state (the state that tips the candidate over 269 giving them the win). So no real conspiracy there.

    In comparison, New York has a less than 0.1% chance of being the tipping point state, with Hillary polling at +16.2%. Your feels might be that Trump can win New York, but the closest he's got in polling is behind by 12.

    538 gives Trump's odds of winning at just under 40%. Not insignificant, but pretty different to your feels

    Melbourne • Since Nov 2013 • 5 posts Report

  • Legal Beagle: Geoffrey Palmer has…, in reply to Moz,

    Yay, what remains of my basic rights are safe as long as 50% of the population and 25% of parliament agrees that I should be allowed to keep them

    It's an or, not an and. But more importantly, it would mean your basic rights are substantially more secure than under the status quo. If this ever happens it'll be important that the great isn't an enemy of the good

    Melbourne • Since Nov 2013 • 5 posts Report

  • Hard News: The Cycle Frolic, in reply to Matthew Poole,

    ...or you can ask them to send it to you in a different format. They're required to provide the information in your prefered format unless there are good reasons not to (refer them to s16(2) if they give you any trouble). Although, to be clear, they don't have to create anything (i.e. if it isn't in an excel file they don't have to create one).

    Melbourne • Since Nov 2013 • 5 posts Report

  • Legal Beagle: Not burglary?,

    The type of people that own holiday homes don't take well to low level crimes and minor inconveniences not being investigated when they are the victim

    Melbourne • Since Nov 2013 • 5 posts Report

  • Hard News: Friday: A happier place,

    It’s Jeff Tweedy, not Tweedie. Which is important because then you can find this version of them doing it together:

    …which leads to this version of them singing on a CCR tune:

    …which leads to Wilco doing Hoodoo Voodoo:

    and if you aren’t happy after that, well you need some serious help.

    Melbourne • Since Nov 2013 • 5 posts Report