Posts by Russell Brown
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Rod Oram fact-checks English's claims on income and the economy – and finds them mostly bogus.
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Hard News: Friday Music: Laneway,…, in reply to Jamie Larnach,
Oh! Thanks for the heads-up.
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Hard News: Friday Music: Laneway,…, in reply to Hugh Wilson,
Cool!
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Speaker: Polling 2017: life beyond landlines?, in reply to Rob Stowell,
Best guess: it’s bloody close. (But it might not be!)
I have seen whispers suggesting that both big parties' internal polling can be summed up as "bloody close".
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Speaker: Polling 2017: life beyond landlines?, in reply to Geoff Lealand,
Given there is no equivalent telephone directory for mobiles, even CATI is increasingly fragile, and possibly even fraudulent. Polling should be an industry in decline, rather than ascendance.,
Oddly enough, the polls that (correctly) confounded received wisdom at the UK general election were from YouGov's online panel. It seems it can be done well, but it's not trivial to achieve that.
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Hard News: Friday Music: Laneway,…, in reply to Ian Dalziel,
New video out from Blair Parkes latest release ‘Saturations’
‘so very useful’Argh – thanks Ian, I meant to put this in the post.
and I have to say I’m loving his new paintings on old boards from Lyttelton
Wow, those are great!
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Hard News: Friday Music: Laneway,…, in reply to Ross Bell,
Yay! The War On Drugs.
I thought you were against that sort of thing, Ross.
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Here's the interview Patrick Gower kindly did for MediaTake on how they're polling this year:
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One thing that fascinated me was huge difference between Reid and the Newsroom poll that had Labour on 45 and National on 30 – both of which use the SSI online panel.
They're over different (but adjacent) time periods and the Newsroom sample is small, but it does seem to indicate that Reid is doing something differently with its SSI online component.
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Hard News: Labour's RNZ+ plan: largely coherent, in reply to artig,
And a bit further down the track another government to diseanact it. As with TVNZ 7.
The problem there was that Labour only established it for a five-year period. All National had to do was fail to renew it.