Posts by jh
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Journalists haven’t been lazy this election, nor have they been biased.
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Huh?!Even Peters own voters aren't convinced by this old trick - 92 per cent of his supporters don't rate immigration as a problem.
- Stuff
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/opinion/10187254/Immi-what-Hysteria-over-immigration-falls-flat
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and non reportingSavings Working Group
January 2011
“The big adverse gap in productivity between New Zealand and other countries opened up from the 1970s to the early 1990s. The policy choice that increased immigration – given the number of employers increasingly unable to pay First-World wages to the existing population and all the capital requirements that increasing populations involve – looks likely to have worked almost directly against the adjustment New Zealand needed to make and it might have been better off with a lower rate of net immigration. This adjustment would have involved a lower real interest rate (and cost of capital) and a lower real exchange rate, meaning a more favourable environment for raising the low level of productive capital per worker and labour productivity. The low level of capital per worker is a striking symptom of New Zealand’s economic challenge.
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http://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/reviews-consultation/savingsworkinggroup/pdfs/swg-report-jan11.pdfCompared to:
"The New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) is calling for a more ambitious population policy, which it says will drive competition in business and push up incomes."
http://www.radionz.co.nz/news/business/235709/aggression-needed-to-recruit-more-migrants -
Keith Ng, do you have any response to the 2011 Savings Working Group report?
“The big adverse gap in productivity between New Zealand and other countries opened up from the 1970s to the early 1990s. The policy choice that increased immigration – given the number of employers increasingly unable to pay First-World wages to the existing population and all the capital requirements that increasing populations involve – looks likely to have worked almost directly against the adjustment New Zealand needed to make and it might have been better off with a lower rate of net immigration. This adjustment would have involved a lower real interest rate (and cost of capital) and a lower real exchange rate, meaning a more favourable environment for raising the low level of productive capital per worker and labour productivity. The low level of capital per worker is a striking symptom of New Zealand’s economic challenge."
When you posted this were you aware of the Putnam study on diversity and civic life?
Do you know anything about evolutionary psychology? -
In 2008
Anti-immigration feeling has no place in the Green party Immigration and Population policies released today, Green MP Keith Locke says.
"Our policy is the opposite of Winston Peters'," the Party's Immigration Spokesperson Keith Locke says.https://home.greens.org.nz/press-releases/greens-counter-peters-welcoming-immigration-policy
In 2011 the Governments own Savings Working Group said:On other government policy issues, SWG recommendations include:
- A much more strategic and integrated approach to policy generally.
- Serious consideration of the impact of the level and variability of immigration on national saving, and the impact that this might have on the living standards of New Zealanders. There are indications that our high immigration rate has pushed up government spending, house prices and business borrowing.Also
“The big adverse gap in productivity between New Zealand and other countries opened up from the 1970s to the early 1990s. The policy choice that increased immigration – given the number of employers increasingly unable to pay First-World wages to the existing population and all the capital requirements that increasing populations involve – looks likely to have worked almost directly against the adjustment New Zealand needed to make and it might have been better off with a lower rate of net immigration. This adjustment would have involved a lower real interest rate (and cost of capital) and a lower real exchange rate, meaning a more favourable environment for raising the low level of productive capital per worker and labour productivity. The low level of capital per worker is a striking symptom of New Zealand’s economic challenge.
No points Green Party? Shouldn't a Green appreciate limits to growth? Or is diversity more important than the well-being of New Zealanders?
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Hard News: In The Green Room, in reply to Rich of Observationz,
Exactly. And there’s an argument that by growing sustainably and taking a reasonable number of immigrants, we are easing the burden on more populous and strained ecosystems, like Europe and China
Blinded by enthusiasm for social change? "Progressives of the internationalist tradition"? Not true to label? Wolf in sheeps clothing? Watermelon?
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Hard News: In The Green Room, in reply to tussock,
I think you’ll find the New Zealand situation fairly unique in our potential for massive growth in renewable energy, at least compared to Europe.
Have you considered the effect of the next earthquke on the alpine fault (sitting at the top of the probability curve about now)?
With an expected magnitude of 8+ this will be considered a "great earthquake" not simply a strong one. The force will result in a horizontal earth shift of up to 8 metres, and a vertical displacement of 4 metres. The effects will be worst in West Otago, diminishing eastward.
Landslide dams with breakout flash flooding are very likely. Aggradation will deposit high sediment volumes in riverbeds lasting for many months. Huge sediment and gravel deposits will have downstream effects for years. Areas such as the Shotover River may be radically transformed.
Rock avalanches falling into the water bodies may cause tsunami in lakes, rivers, and fiords. Areas such as Lakes Wakatipu, Wanaka, Hawea, Te Anau, Manapouri, Tekapo, Milford Sound Doubtful Sound are at risk from tsunami induced by massive landslips into the water.
Electricity supplyDamage to hydro electrical generation plants and transmission lines will result in an immediate shutdown of South Island power generation and widespread disruption of reticulation. Electricity supply is likely to be unavailable for many weeks or even months in some remote areas.
http://www.orc.govt.nz/Information-and-Services/Natural-Hazards/Great-Alpine-Fault-Earthquake/
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http://www.theguardian.com/world/2008/may/24/tibet.china
I see Tibet is on it's way. Waikato Uni will love it. -
I think this one makes the point that while for some multiculturalism is a lot of nice people from different cultures all enjoying each other, for others they are just out there in competition. These are the people who see life from the other side.
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Hard News: Diverse Auckland: are we…, in reply to Sacha,
and you assume common values aren’t already there
I think one problem is that a persons sense of identity is too important.
I have been watching documentaries. One posed the question: "but the proportions of migrants are small (10%, 14% 11%)" and wondered why that should be a problem. I think it is the perceived tipping point.This one uses the Shetlands: "everything else can change but I will always be a Shetlander". The Muslim doctor felt accepted (more so than in Northern Island), but what if immigration increased? What if he wasn't a doctor? The Shetlanders are very secure. I'm not sure whether the presenter reaches that conclusion or not?
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The flaw with diversity/multiculturalism (as I see it) is that you assume society will synthesize a common set of values that will override the interests of ethnic/cultural entities.
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Hard News: Diverse Auckland: are we…, in reply to Steve Barnes,
Hamiltonian brake failure?
Pakeha culture shares some ingredients with its largely European cultures of origin: such as the English language, the Westminster Parliamentary system, the traditions and the conventions of the Open Society, in which every person is entitled to seek truth through a process of unfettered investigation and open disputation.
I'm not sure King had much time for post modernists?