Posts by Russell Brown

  • Hard News: Polls: news you can own, in reply to James Green,

    It’s clear that people are increasingly sick of answering cold calls.

    I blame brand perception surveys. Being asked to quantify my feelings from 1-7 on 20 minutes' worth of repetitive, barely distinguishable questions is not at all my idea of a good time. The dropout rate during those surveys must be huge.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Polls: news you can own, in reply to Craig Ranapia,

    No, because that kind of maths is well above my pay grade. But, yeah, I would like pollsters commenting on political polling (and how they are reported) to be more forthcoming about any potential or actual conflicts of interest they may have in their client lists. If it’s a good enough bar for David Farrar, it’s good enough for everyone else.

    It's not quite the same thing. White wrote up his review for his blog on the SayIt website, where he talks about all kinds of things, including UMR's own polls on various issues.

    I suppose Mediawatch could have noted that one of their many clients is the Labour Party when they asked him about the blog post. But it's not as if he's doing political commentary in the media, or he's a prominent activist in a major political party. And this is just a simple review of historical numbers. I don't see how there's a conflict of interest.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Polls: news you can own, in reply to Pete George,

    ‘Don’t know’ in the Colmar poll were not 18%, they were 13% (up 3).

    My mistake. It's the don't know + refuse to say figure, which is up 5%, but I accidentally left out out the second part. I've corrected the wording.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Polls: news you can own, in reply to Craig Ranapia,

    And, frankly, FUCK “COMMERCIAL SENSITIVITY”. You’re been presented as expert opinion, you don’t get to pretend you’re a disinterested party in how your industry is perceived.

    Is there any part of his maths you question? Because that post is really just maths. And it's on the UMR website.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: A Big Thing,

    Attachment

    And an even bigger version of the same panorama.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: A Big Thing,

    Attachment

    Panorama from the viewing point over the south end.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Polls: news you can own, in reply to Tom Semmens,

    When the reality is that undecided voters are going through the roof

    At the least, the increase in undecided voters -- some of whom may be turning away from labour and Cunliffe, remember -- seems worthy of comment.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Polls: news you can own, in reply to Matthew Poole,

    You really think Winnie's going to string everyone along for three months? :P
    I guess it's not without precedent.

    Heh. No, it was a typo. Thanks

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Polls: news you can own, in reply to BenWilson,

    That Gavin White analysis is a good place to start.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • Hard News: Polls: news you can own, in reply to BenWilson,

    and has serially called for every Labour leader’s head as a result of this

    He's not the only one to do that. I find the mass kvetching a bit wearying at times.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

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