Posts by Russell Brown
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Speaker: Gender quotas (and helping…, in reply to Andrew Geddis,
But that doesn’t necessarily mean there will be less male MPs than presently
Oh please! Fewer male MPs. :-) #oneupmanship
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Hard News: Narcissists and bullies, in reply to Graeme Edgeler,
Is it possible that Radio Love comments are moderated
Heh. You said "Radio Love".
The moderators were letting through some very strong comments, with swearing and even a suggestion that that the hosts were trying to cover their own past indiscretions, right up until the time the comments were closed.
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Speaker: Gender quotas (and helping…, in reply to Graeme Edgeler,
Don’t make me test this assumption by going over past lists! I am prepared to have a bet with you, Russell, that the 2011 Labour Party list will include list-ranking demotions for multiple (two or more?) male Labour MPs.
I freely grant you're right in the sense that every new party list is likely to see some sitting MPs fare poorly.
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Speaker: Gender quotas (and helping…, in reply to Graeme Edgeler,
Perhaps you would like to redo your numbers based on that, and show us what would happen if Labour got ~37.5% of the vote at the upcoming election. Otherwise, I’m pretty sure most of us will assume this was simply an example of partisan hackery.
edit: that took longer than intended, I see the commentary has advanced somewhat.
Bummer! But thanks: useful points nonetheless.
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Speaker: Gender quotas (and helping…, in reply to Andrew C,
But I didn’t see Paddy’s statement as being that incorrect. If you take the party list as it is now and apply the new policy, you will see a shifting of positions. I don’t think calling those demotions is that misleading.
Um, but it is, because the new policy won’t be applied immediately and both the 2011 party list and Labour’s party vote share will not stay the same.
To justify a claim of multiple demotions of male MPs, you need to assume:
- That, polls notwithstanding, Labour’s party vote will not increase past a historic low of 27.48% over six years.
- That there will be no veteran male MPs retiring over those six years.
That’s quite an assumption.
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Speaker: Gender quotas (and helping…, in reply to Craig Ranapia,
Hunger Games whatever.
Write me a one-pager and I'll get it into NZOn Air. I think we're onto a winner.
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Speaker: Gender quotas (and helping…, in reply to Scott A,
I agree with the policy, but also agree that the example is self-serving and will play into Paddy Gower’s hands by starting at 40% and increasing from there.
See the top line of the spreadsheet, assuming a 27.48% Party Vote.
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Speaker: Gender quotas (and helping…, in reply to Andrew C,
Surely the “maths” given by Rachael is pretty blimmin self serving. The only reason for the increase in men is the fact the PV has been pumped up for the example.
Well, yes. Up from Labour's derisory vote in the last election, roughly in line with polls. The claim being addressed was that there would be "demotions" of male MPs from Parliament. There won't.
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Hard News: Narcissists and bullies, in reply to Miche Campbell,
And they’re just talking on National Radio about a second group related to this one.
The story's a couple of days out of date. The so-called "Mt Albert chapter" page was removed by Facebook, on complaint, on Monday I think. I think it predates the story breaking in the news.
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More lowlights of the perpetrators’ social media, including further frank admissions of rape.
It does seem that some girls participated voluntarily. We will all have our own thoughts about that, but group sex, even rough, transgressive group sex, isn’t rape.
Thing is, there were plenty of cases that were clear, calculated rape. We can’t just move on from this.