Hard News by Russell Brown

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Hard News: History is now

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  • giovanni tiso,

    1. Josiah Bartlett, The West Wing (Martin Sheen)

    There's absolutely no way I'd vote Bartlett over Obama. Let alone the others.

    Wellington • Since Jun 2007 • 7473 posts Report

  • Russell Brown,

    These are the exits that are doing the rounds, leaked to mydd. As Nate Silver says, an unreliable instrument, but anyhow:

    If those are anything like accurate ... it's big.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • giovanni tiso,

    If those are anything like accurate ... it's big.

    Seriously: Virginia BY TEN? How wrong could an exit poll be?
    Unless of course it's fake and leaked to the dems by republicans to slow down the GOTV.

    Wellington • Since Jun 2007 • 7473 posts Report

  • Gareth Ward,

    If those are anything like accurate ... it's big.

    Yeah - taking all three of Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania would be big for Obama

    Auckland, NZ • Since Mar 2007 • 1727 posts Report

  • Gareth Ward,

    oh, and Virginia too...

    Auckland, NZ • Since Mar 2007 • 1727 posts Report

  • giovanni tiso,

    Kentucky Prez with 10% of precincts is 51-49 McCain. That's just insane.

    Wellington • Since Jun 2007 • 7473 posts Report

  • TroyHoward,

    has kentucky just closed up. McCain was way out front.

    Christchurch • Since Nov 2006 • 78 posts Report

  • giovanni tiso,

    oh, and Virginia too...

    If Obama wins Virginia, with any percentage, two things:

    a) It's game over
    b) You're looking at 350 electorate votes plus for Obama.

    Wellington • Since Jun 2007 • 7473 posts Report

  • Gareth Ward,

    Is Virginia closing up now?

    Auckland, NZ • Since Mar 2007 • 1727 posts Report

  • Hadyn Green,

    has kentucky just closed up. McCain was way out front.

    Yeah but that's only 10% so far.

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 2090 posts Report

  • Tom Semmens,

    By the look of some of these results we mightr be seeing the effect of having a politician whose rhetoric has empowered the margins to get out and vote... In other words, the disenfranchised poor in the U.S. are out, and are voting Obama.

    The implications of this for both the Democrats and the GOP are terrifying, if you think about it. Is the cosy ossified beltway ready for real democracy?

    Sevilla, Espana • Since Nov 2006 • 2217 posts Report

  • Hadyn Green,

    ZOMG! A projection!
    Obama wins Vermont, McCain in Kentucky

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 2090 posts Report

  • TroyHoward,

    oh oh get ready......the first projection from cnn.

    Obama takes Vermont
    McCain takes Kentucky.

    Christchurch • Since Nov 2006 • 78 posts Report

  • giovanni tiso,

    Is Virginia closing up now?

    We don't have any votes on Virginia. Polls aren't closed yet.

    Barack wins Vermont, Kentucky for MCCain, just called by CNN.

    Wellington • Since Jun 2007 • 7473 posts Report

  • giovanni tiso,

    Heh... you bastards.

    Wellington • Since Jun 2007 • 7473 posts Report

  • Russell Brown,

    ZOMG! A projection!
    Obama wins Vermont, McCain in Kentucky

    Heh. Wolf didn't even finish talking and you posted it.

    Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 22850 posts Report

  • TroyHoward,

    how the hell does cnn get these voter break downs. "white men without college education" wtf?

    Christchurch • Since Nov 2006 • 78 posts Report

  • Hadyn Green,

    By the look of some of these results we mightr be seeing the effect of having a politician whose rhetoric has empowered the margins to get out and vote... In other words, the disenfranchised poor in the U.S. are out, and are voting Obama.

    Do you think that maybe "red state" republican voters might not bother because they feel complacent and haven't voted.

    Though those demographic breakdowns are really interesting. A lot closer than the charts imply. I really want to get my hands on that data!

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 2090 posts Report

  • Craig Ranapia,

    Oooooh, you know something we don't Craig? =>

    Just that you don't need to be a fricking genius to figure out that calling Florida before the polls had even closed in the Panhandle was... shall we say, somewhat unwise with the benefit of hindsight.

    And sorry for the quasi-thread jack, but isn't shit like this supposed to happening south of the Mason-Dixon Line not north of the Bombay Hills?

    Botany resident Harry Lu plans to lodge a complaint with the Electoral Commission today after his mother-in-law was asked to cast her vote, and told who to vote for.

    On October 24 she was taken by Labour officials to an early voting station at Panmure Library following a talk by Labour's Chinese candidate Raymond Huo.

    Lu alleges elderly Chinese voters are being taken to early-voting stations by officials, coerced into casting their votes early - and being told where to put their two ticks.

    Mr Lu said in Mandarin: "I feel that the Labour Party is taking advantage of the vulnerability of elderly Chinese voters."

    His mother-in-law, who wanted to be known as Mrs Chen, 72, said she felt "cheated" after casting her vote because she didn't get the chance to listen to the policies of other parties.

    "I don't even know who I voted for. I just followed the instructions of the Labour Party man on how to fill in my form because my English is not very good. He was standing right beside me and telling me what to write and where to put my ticks," she said in Mandarin.

    Screw partisanship. This kind of nonsense is totally unacceptable, and if Pansy Wong and her team are doing the same I'll get really cross. In a funny way, I hope Lincoln Tan is playing an astoundingly perverse joke on Herald readers, because it's just depressing if true.

    North Shore, Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 12370 posts Report

  • Don Christie,

    When do early votes get counted? Do the results from those get released as soon as polls close?

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 1645 posts Report

  • Hadyn Green,

    ZOMG! A projection!
    Obama wins Vermont, McCain in Kentucky

    Heh. Wolf didn't even finish talking and you posted it.

    isn't there that the rule: last to post it has to do a shot?

    Wellington • Since Nov 2006 • 2090 posts Report

  • Gareth Ward,

    how the hell does cnn get these voter break downs. "white men without college education" wtf?

    Their export poll sheets are 2 pretty dense pages of questions...

    Auckland, NZ • Since Mar 2007 • 1727 posts Report

  • Gareth Ward,

    export poll? ha
    exit poll sorry

    Auckland, NZ • Since Mar 2007 • 1727 posts Report

  • Craig Ranapia,

    Do you think that maybe "red state" republican voters might not bother because they feel complacent and haven't voted.

    If they're not turning out, I suspect its because Palin hasn't "energised the base" as thoroughly as conventional media wisdom would have us believe. Diddums.

    North Shore, Auckland • Since Nov 2006 • 12370 posts Report

  • TroyHoward,

    ZOMG! A projection!
    Obama wins Vermont, McCain in Kentucky

    Heh. Wolf didn't even finish talking and you posted it.

    isn't there that the rule: last to post it has to do a shot?

    what would be the election night shot of choice?

    Christchurch • Since Nov 2006 • 78 posts Report

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