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		<title>Public Address | Cafe | Speaker: The plan against the rebuild</title>
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		<description><![CDATA[A talking shop where we put the questions and our community illuminates the issues.]]></description>
			<language>en-us</language>
			<copyright>Copyright (c) 2026 Public Address</copyright>
			

		
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				<title>Andrew R266</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325793#post325793</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325793#post325793</guid>
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						[Hi Andrew &mdash; I had to delete your comment to stay within the election day media rules. I've kept a copy and can restore it later for you &mdash; RB]
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				<pubDate>Sat, 20 Sept 2014 16:05:18 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Philip Hayward</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325390#post325390</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325390#post325390</guid>
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						<p><q>Mind you, Liverpool's been around a whole lot longer than Detroit.</q></p><p>Thanks for a constructive response, DeepRed.</p><p>There is quite a correlation between how long a city has been around, and its likely overall density in the modern era. </p><p>Is there any example of a high density city that has…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sept 2014 19:19:20 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Philip Hayward</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325389#post325389</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325389#post325389</guid>
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						<p>I will endeavour to be completely civil and avoid the appearance of snideness. But I think advocates of housing affordability, like myself, have grounds to be somewhat testy with the obfuscators, given the real life evidence. </p><p>You've read the source material and don't agree with its "assumptions"?</p><p>What have "assumptions"…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sept 2014 19:07:07 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Kumara Republic</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325279#post325279</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325279#post325279</guid>
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						<p><q>But if Detroit had a UGB/green belt around it, it could be more like Liverpool – industrial decline, high unemployment and crime rates, loss of population (very similar), STILL-HIGH urban density, AND unaffordable house prices!!!!!!</q></p><p>Mind you, Liverpool's been around a whole lot longer than Detroit.</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sept 2014 12:15:55 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Moz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325244#post325244</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325244#post325244</guid>
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						<p><q>Pavletich has been pointing out all along, and numerous people obviously have a comprehension problem, that there are cities that are systemically affordable</q></p><p>If you'd rather not address my points it would be better if you didn't post, rather than resorting to snide remarks. I appreciate that you don't have…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sept 2014 09:29:30 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Philip Hayward</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325237#post325237</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325237#post325237</guid>
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						<p><q> Despite Paveltich's optimism, I predict that if they were built they'd be yet more enclaves of overpriced, covenanted mcmansions.</q></p><p>Pavletich has been pointing out all along, and numerous people obviously have a comprehension problem, that there are cities that are systemically affordable, i.e. a median multiple of 3; because they…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sept 2014 08:39:27 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Philip Hayward</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325234#post325234</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325234#post325234</guid>
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						<p><q>the very cheapest houses in America also happen to be areas of industrial decline and high crime rates, such as Detroit.</q></p><p>But if Detroit had a UGB/green belt around it, it could be more like Liverpool &ndash; industrial decline, high unemployment and crime rates, loss of population (very similar), STILL-HIGH…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sept 2014 08:28:35 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Philip Hayward</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325228#post325228</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325228#post325228</guid>
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						<p>DeepRed, I agree with you that NZ's house price bubble has vested interests that make it impossible to do effective reform. The foremost manifestation of this is the never-ending fabricated opposition to effective reform of urban land supply regulations.</p><p>The smart people in the vested interests, which includes the finance…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sept 2014 08:00:41 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Kumara Republic</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325219#post325219</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325219#post325219</guid>
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						<q>So yes, ditch the planners by all means, but at the start of the process get developers, public officials and architects (probably including some international firms, to challenge the status quo) to agree a design language appropriate to a city's history and values and maybe a transect with a rough…</q>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sept 2014 00:12:29 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Kumara Republic</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325218#post325218</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325218#post325218</guid>
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						<p><q>The risks in NZ are now so precarious because of the housing bubble that people should be concerned, yet they're not.</q></p><p>The problem is the NZ housing bubble has become our equivalent of G7 farm subsidies &ndash; long overdue for reform, but vested interests are too powerful for anyone to…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sept 2014 00:09:35 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Blair Pritchard</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325217#post325217</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325217#post325217</guid>
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						I agree with almost all of the article. I also think the Houston model can work well for second tier cities such as Christchurch. However, I also think there are limits to its applicability. Houston just didn't feel like a great city when I was there and all my co-workers…
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				<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sept 2014 00:02:17 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Philip Hayward</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325207#post325207</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325207#post325207</guid>
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						<p>Earlier, DeepRed, you said "even Houston is taking steps to encourage building upwards".</p><p>Actually, in the locations it is happening in Houston, it was never discouraged. Houston has no centrally imposed zoning. All the zoning is by "covenant" or a local form of it. In most of the central commercial…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 22:26:38 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Philip Hayward</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325204#post325204</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325204#post325204</guid>
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						Great assessment, Eric, I hope it is recognised everywhere right up to the top in NZ. Hugh Pavletich's intuitions were correct right back when these earthquakes happened, I think he correctly predicted what a total shambles was likely to follow, and that hopefully it would lead to a much-needed revolution…
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 21:53:00 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Jim Cathcart</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325198#post325198</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325198#post325198</guid>
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						Pavletich supported me on a debate regarding the relevance of mid- to- high-density housing over at Macrobusiness. The Texas model is extremely important for nzers to be aware of, especially with regards to death by bureaucracy. The risks in NZ are now so precarious because of the housing bubble that…
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 21:07:57 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Kumara Republic</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325189#post325189</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325189#post325189</guid>
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						Some salient points there, Eric. But Pavletich and Demographia also conveniently neglect to mention that the very cheapest houses in America also happen to be areas of industrial decline and high crime rates, such as Detroit. Not that I was knocking Houston per se, but just pointing out Houston is…
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 20:33:51 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Graham Dunster</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325170#post325170</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325170#post325170</guid>
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						<p>Thank god we don't have the nanny state forced on us by the Helen Clark government, think how much worse it would all be in that scenario...</p><p>(Yes, irony.)</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 18:04:33 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Moz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325129#post325129</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325129#post325129</guid>
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						<p><q>Paveltich tends to say, on the edges of town, let anybody develop suburbs anywhere so long as they're willing to front the infrastructure costs via MUDs. </q></p><p>I haven't heard him say anything about public transport that could be construed as positive, making the whole "push them out of town" approach…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 16:45:26 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Eric Crampton</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325093#post325093</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325093#post325093</guid>
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						Thanks, Rob!
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 15:09:46 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Eric Crampton</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325092#post325092</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325092#post325092</guid>
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						Hate on Houston all you want, Deep Red, but note that it successfully delivers very affordable housing while making sure the infrastructure costs are borne by the people who live out in the sprawling suburbs. I put more emphasis on also easing up on the height limits and making it…
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 15:08:29 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Eric Crampton</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325088#post325088</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325088#post325088</guid>
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						Thanks, David. We both missed the Christchurch launch: I'd already moved to Wellington. It was in late August.
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 15:03:40 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Eric Crampton</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325086#post325086</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325086#post325086</guid>
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						Thanks! The word I stole from Scott Adams, who used it to explain cell phone pricing plans that make it deliberately difficult to compare things against competitors.
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 15:01:41 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rob Stowell</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325067#post325067</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325067#post325067</guid>
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						<p>Beaut summary of a bloody mess, Eric. I don’t agree with you on many things economic, but you’ve nailed a lot of the elements here. <br />I think CCC have woken up somewhat under Lianne Dalziel, but not enough. CERA have been a major disappointment. Brownlee – I dunno what he’s…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 14:04:22 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>ilmars Gravis</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325051#post325051</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=325051#post325051</guid>
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						My pick for next word of the year....confusopoly! very apt descriptive word
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 13:03:35 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Russell Brown</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324994#post324994</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324994#post324994</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						One of the editors of the book, Barnaby Bennett, has written this helpful summary: <a href="https://medium.com/@mrbarnabyb/a-guide-to-christchurch-rebuild-for-the-rest-of-nz-38fb54e031d9" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">A voters guide to the Christchurch rebuild for the rest of NZ</a>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 10:24:44 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Kumara Republic</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324982#post324982</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324982#post324982</guid>
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						<p><q>Pavletich has only himself to blame, though given his highly public disconnect from reality he’ll remain trapped in the ideological bubble for which he happens to be the local franchise.</q></p><p>Yep, Pavletich isn’t so much a developer as a speculator, and continues to be a fanboy of Houston’s sprawl model.…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 10:07:16 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>David Haywood</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324971#post324971</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324971#post324971</guid>
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						<p>Excellent essay, Eric!</p><p>I've often been struck by a similar thought to that which you express so eloquently here &mdash; that somehow the recovery has managed to find the 'un-sweet' spot between a highly-directed government response (that ploughed ahead with just getting things done) and a totally un-coordinated laissez-faire rebuild.…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 09:37:49 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Joe Wylie</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324967#post324967</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324967#post324967</guid>
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						<p><q>King Gerry and his appointed apparachiks are a disaster for Christchurch.</q></p><p>You could add imported apparatchiks. A number of these people <a href="http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/10317614/Flight-bill-soars-for-Canty-quake-bureaucrats" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">commute to their cosy sinecures</a>.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 09:24:01 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Ian Dalziel</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324963#post324963</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324963#post324963</guid>
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						<p>or in precis: <br />Christchurch &ndash; Suddenly, nothing happened....</p><p>Here's a show to watch on Sunday morning TV1<br /><a href="http://www.stuff.co.nz/the-press/christchurch-life/art-and-stage/10504983/TV-series-shows-Christchurch-as-it-is" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"> Christchurch: From the Streets</a><br /><q> The first episode of the six-part series airs at 11.30am on TV1 on Sunday.<br />Each episode has a theme &ndash; Where we are at, Affordable Housing, the…</q></p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 09:18:38 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Tom Semmens</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324962#post324962</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324962#post324962</guid>
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						<p><a href="http://www.teara.govt.nz/en/historic-earthquakes/page-8" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">From Teara:</a></p><p><q>On 11 March 1931 the government appointed magistrate J. S. Barton and engineer L. B. Campbell as commissioners of Napier. Together with local committees they had the daunting task of organising reconstruction.</q></p><p>The rebuild of Napier is the gold standard against which the disaster that is the Canterbury…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 09:17:48 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Bill Bennett</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324957#post324957</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324957#post324957</guid>
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						<p>"In my view, too many city planners spent far too much of their youths playing _SimCity_,"</p><p>This is both amusing and disturbingly close to the truth — especially considering the version of _SimCity_ we had (maybe still have) includes an earthquake hazard. </p><p>The point about the best cities being  _organic_…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 08:46:36 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Joe Wylie</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324953#post324953</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324953#post324953</guid>
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						<p><q>Shortly after the September earthquakes, developer Hugh Pavletich argued for the release of more land on the more stable western city fringes. Nothing happened. And, amazingly, neither did anything happen after the February earthquakes.</q></p><p>Pavletich has only himself to blame, though given his highly public disconnect from reality he’ll remain…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 08:04:38 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>andin</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324947#post324947</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324947#post324947</guid>
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						<p>Confusopoly, what a great word. All the best with the book launch. </p><p>The worst failure of this government, yet they tout it as their great success.<br />"Rotten to the core" comes to mind when I think of  Key &amp;Co.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 07:32:46 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Public Address</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324946#post324946</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-the-plan-against-the-rebuild/?p=324946#post324946</guid>
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						<p>Discussion from blog post.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sept 2014 07:32:46 +1200</pubDate>
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