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		<title>Public Address | Cafe | Polity: Buying a fight with democracy</title>
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				<title>David Hood</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345476#post345476</link>
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						<p>This crossed my reading list and I thought it might be of interest, even though we don't use electronic voting machines</p><p><a href="http://www.kansas.com/news/politics-government/article27951310.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">http://www.kansas.com/news/politics-government/article27951310.html</a></p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 06 Aug 2015 12:50:41 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Andrew Geddis</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345447#post345447</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345447#post345447</guid>
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						<p><q>Your comparison between The National party and the extreme behaviour of the Republicans, and more specifically the extreme right wing Republicans ...</q></p><p>It isn't <strong>just</strong> "the extreme right wing Republicans" who support Voter ID laws: <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2014/05/12/where-does-the-republican-party-stand-on-voter-id/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2014/05/12/where-does-the-republican-party-stand-on-voter-id/</a></p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 05 Aug 2015 15:02:43 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Andrew Geddis</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345446#post345446</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345446#post345446</guid>
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						<p><q>We do not have the same social structure as the US. We do not have the same large communities equivalent to the black and Hispanic communities in the US that can and have been targeted by the Republicans.</q></p><p>The rate of invalid votes in South Auckland and Maori electorates at…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 05 Aug 2015 14:42:03 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rob Salmond</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345394#post345394</link>
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						<p><q>Going back to 1996 (earliest complete data set) we have had precisely three instances where the winning margin was < 97: </q></p><p>Those results are, however, at the *electorate* level. The number of fraud cases is around 100 at the *nationwide* level in NZ. That means you're actually looking for electorate-level rates where…</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2015 11:56:25 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345388#post345388</link>
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						<p><q>So very, very occasionally indeed.</q></p><p>Yup. Although when a big recount happens involving courts and farting around challenging the rights of voters, then it's likely that a greater number would end up being discounted than what is picked up in the general statistical analysis of voter qualification. When it matters,…</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2015 10:49:47 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Matthew Poole</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345379#post345379</link>
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						<p><q><br />I think you wanted * 0.00004. It was a percentage…so *0.004*0.01<br /></q><br />That'll be it. Mid-afternoon brain-fade.</p><p><q><br /><em>No race was that close.</em></p><p>Occasionally one is. But in that case, they go through the votes carefully anyway.</q><br />Going back to 1996 (earliest complete data set) we have had precisely three instances where…</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2015 09:30:04 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Bart Janssen</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345376#post345376</link>
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						<p><q>But we do have a bid for exactly the same measure</q></p><p>And had Rob focused on the issue in New Zealand highlighting the almost complete absence of voter fraud and the insignificant effect of the fraud that has occurred the post would have been just as useful.</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2015 09:21:42 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Kiwiiano</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345374#post345374</link>
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						And put the enrolling booth in an unlit basement with no stairs behind a door labelled "Beware of the Tiger".
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				<pubDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2015 09:04:27 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Russell Brown</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345367#post345367</link>
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						<q>We do not have the same social structure as the US. We do not have the same large communities equivalent to the black and Hispanic communities in the US that can and have been targeted by the Republicans. We do not have the local political structures that allow counties to…</q>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 21:58:37 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Graeme Edgeler</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345364#post345364</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345364#post345364</guid>
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						<p><q>Is there a place where I can see the official submissions besides the media links from Rob's post?</q></p><p>Yes.</p><p>Click through the link on the to the evidence on this <a href="http://www.parliament.nz/en-nz/pb/sc/business-summary/00DBSCH_INQ_59471_1/inquiry-into-the-2014-general-election" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">page for the select committee inquiry into the 2014 general election</a>.</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 18:59:29 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Phil Lyth</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345363#post345363</link>
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						<p><q>Is there a place where I can see the official submissions besides the media links from Rob's post?</q></p><p>The 214 submissions to the Justice &amp; Electoral inquiry are <a href="http://www.parliament.nz/en-nz/pb/sc/documents/evidence?Criteria.Keyword=2014%20election&amp;Criteria.Parliament=51&amp;Criteria.Author=Justice%20and%20Electoral%20Committee&amp;Criteria.ViewAll=1" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">here</a></p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 18:56:38 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>andin</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345362#post345362</link>
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						<p><q> “proper scrutiny”</q><br />The only thing that needs any scrutiny, proper or otherwise, is the moral compass of those who think they are at the top of this screwed up pyramid we call "society".</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 18:27:53 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>izogi</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345361#post345361</link>
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						<p><q>Actually, it is 96.66. Which makes your “no impact” argument about 100 times stronger.</q></p><p>Yes exactly. It'd be necessary to have an election in which the list MP allocation was already very close to a margin somewhere, or maybe a very close electorate seat , and <em>then</em> some reasonable evidence…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 18:18:32 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345356#post345356</link>
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						<p>I think you wanted * 0.00004. It was a percentage…so *0.004*0.01</p><p><q>No race was that close.</q></p><p>Occasionally one is. But in that case, they go through the votes carefully anyway.</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 16:31:45 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Matthew Poole</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345352#post345352</link>
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						<p><q>    <br /><em>0.004% of the votes cast in 2014 (2,416,479) is 9,666.</em></p><p>Actually, it is 96.66. Which makes your “no impact” argument about 100 times stronger.</q></p><p>I have no idea how I managed to bugger that up (probably did *00.4 instead of *.004), but yes, that really wouldn't have affected anything. No…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 16:26:59 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345351#post345351</link>
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						Particularly in light of them probably being randomly distributed around the nation, so we're talking about roughly 1.5 votes per electorate. The limit case of them all trying to swing one outcome together is interesting, since even then it could hardly have achieved anything. But the likely actual case of…
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 16:21:16 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Ianmac</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345349#post345349</link>
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						<p><q>Actually, it is 96.66. </q><br />And I believe some of the "fraudulent" turn out to be accidental errors. Like a wrong line ruled by the poll clerk, or occasionally those with similar names doubling up.</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 15:58:42 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rob Salmond</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345347#post345347</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345347#post345347</guid>
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						<p><q>0.004% of the votes cast in 2014 (2,416,479) is 9,666.</q></p><p>Actually, it is 96.66. Which makes your "no impact" argument about 100 times stronger.</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 15:44:18 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Matthew Poole</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345344#post345344</link>
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						<p><q>I guess in these days when a small number of Party votes might tip a threshold, or result in MPs having been allocated differently between parties, maybe fraud could be identified as having made a significant difference</q></p><p>0.004% of the votes cast in 2014 (2,416,479) is 9,666. Had they all…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 15:12:31 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345339#post345339</link>
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						<p><q>Republican politics being what they are, one could posit that reducing electoral fraud could actually benefit the left?</q></p><p>It could, if there was any significant fraud to remove. If not, then it's hard not to see the point of it being two particularly right wing tendencies. Firstly, increasing barriers to…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 14:27:43 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Dean Wallis</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345337#post345337</link>
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						<p>There seems to be an unwritten assumption here that electoral fraud is a left-wing issue.  Republican politics being what they are, one could posit that reducing electoral fraud could actually benefit the left?</p><p>Of course increasing the barriers to voting will not benefit the democratic institution, although I would personally…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 14:14:12 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Bart Janssen</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345336#post345336</link>
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						<p><q>I think what Bart means is that it's a specious and irrelevant connection to make.</q></p><p>Exactly.</p><p>The problems with the proposals to change the rules around electoral law can be discussed without invoking comparisons that are extreme.</p><p>We do not have the same social structure as the US. We do…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 13:56:44 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rich of Observationz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345335#post345335</link>
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						<p><q>30+ years ago... the rolls were an absolute mess</q></p><p>Day old white bread, grated tasty, rancid marge.</p><p>It's great how much progress we've made in baked goods since then. I'll have the field mushrooms with baby spinach on ciabatta.</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 13:55:35 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>izogi</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345334#post345334</link>
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						<p>Is there a place where I can see the official submissions besides the media links from Rob's post?</p><p>I'm wondering if anything's come from the minor furore which surrounded people taking photos of their ballot papers from inside the polling booths, then sharing.</p><p>At the time, the Electoral Commission seemed…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 13:50:53 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>izogi</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345331#post345331</link>
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						<p><q>I’m perfectly comfortable with a small amount of voter fraud being the consequence of not disenfranchising people.</q></p><p>Same here.  Carrying on, if you assume that it merely takes scrutiny time to identify fraud and so it's not until some time after the election that fraud is identified, it should still…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 13:33:54 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Phil Lyth</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345330#post345330</link>
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						Scrutiny of the rolls was a live issue 30+ years ago, when the rolls were an absolute mess. Indeed, that was one of the key points of the Hunua electoral petition following the 1978 election. Last Thursday I thought it might be useful for the select cttee to hear evidence…
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 13:22:07 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Russell Brown</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345327#post345327</link>
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						<p><q>Invoking Basil Fawlty at him seems in poor taste and bad faith.</p><p><em>I’d say something similar about invoking the Nazi Party at me.</em></p><p>This is getting very meta.</q></p><p>Too meta and not very productive. Let's move on.</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 12:47:24 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Russell Brown</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345326#post345326</link>
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						<p><q>It’s fair to compare to the Republicans and their drive to exclude voters. There’s pretty much no other good reason to do any of this in a system that isn’t broken.</q></p><p>It seemed that way to me. Obviously, there's a difference in scale, but the comparison itself seems relevant enough.</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 12:46:40 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Emma Hart</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345325#post345325</link>
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						<p><q> including scrutinising the final printed rolls against the page and line numbers announced by clerks staffing the booths.</q></p><p>I have seen one (1) scrutineer actually write down the numbers we call out.</p><p>And yes, as seems the consensus here, voter ID is, IMO, a horrible idea. I'm perfectly comfortable with…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 12:46:03 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Lilith __</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345324#post345324</link>
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						<p><q>    <em>Invoking Basil Fawlty at him seems in poor taste and bad faith.</em></p><p>I’d say something similar about invoking the Nazi Party at me.</q></p><p>This is getting very meta.</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 12:45:42 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345323#post345323</link>
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						<p><q> it wouldn’t be at all practical, considering the scale of modern electorates. It’s a polite fiction from the days of limited franchises and much smaller electorates.</q></p><p>I don't know about that. The bit that's old fashioned to me is thinking that a large database is a difficult thing to collate…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 12:40:41 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345322#post345322</link>
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						<p>Also, I don’t need any chilling reasons to think this is a dumb idea. It’s enough that it’s a completely unwarranted waste of time and money. That it’s chilling is just icing on the fuck-off cake. </p><p>Give us a real reason to do this, or don’t do it.</p><p>ETA: Not…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 12:34:27 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Keir Leslie</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345321#post345321</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345321#post345321</guid>
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						I am not aware of any political party (anyone that's not the EC, in fact) actually scrutinizing the rolls to check for false details prior to an election &ndash; it wouldn't be at all practical, considering the scale of modern electorates. It's a polite fiction from the days of limited…
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 12:28:54 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345320#post345320</link>
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						<p>It's fair to compare to the Republicans and their drive to exclude voters. There's pretty much no other good reason to do any of this in a system that isn't broken.</p><p>Well, none that I can think of. If anyone else can think of a good reason to fix our…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 12:24:26 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rob Salmond</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345319#post345319</link>
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						<p><q>I think what Bart means is that it's a specious and irrelevant connection to make.</q></p><p>And I don't agree, for reasons I lay out at some length in the post. If someone wants to give some <em>reasons</em> why they disagree; great. But saying "I disgree because [reason withheld]" doesn't lead…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 12:21:45 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Lilith __</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345318#post345318</link>
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						<p><q>    <em>Invoking the US Republican party as an equivalence to the NZ National party is effectively godwinning your own post.</em></p><p>I'd put it differently. I'd say "Invoking Godwin's Law when nobody mentioned ze war is a good way to express moral outrage when you actually have nothing to say."</q></p><p>I think…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 12:16:12 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rob Salmond</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345317#post345317</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345317#post345317</guid>
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						<p><q>Invoking the US Republican party as an equivalence to the NZ National party is effectively godwinning your own post.</q></p><p>I'd put it differently. I'd say "Invoking Godwin's Law when nobody <em>mentioned ze war</em> is a good way to express moral outrage when you actually have nothing to say."</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 11:54:01 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Ray Gilbert</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345316#post345316</link>
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						<p><q>For most Kiwis, presenting a driver’s license or signing a form isn’t a big deal.</q><br />Like a number of people I don't drive, hence don't have a license. At times my passport has lapsed leaving me bereft of official ID. This could indeed be a big deal if a polling…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 11:53:05 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rob Salmond</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345315#post345315</link>
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						<p><q>To what degree do political parties scrutinise the roll at present, and what examples are there of anything coming of it?</q></p><p>Political parties use the roll extensively at election time, including scrutinising the final printed rolls against the page and line numbers announced by clerks staffing the booths. That helps…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 11:48:39 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Emma Hart</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345314#post345314</link>
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						<p><q>In my view, the ban on election-day advertising is egregious</q></p><p>Thanks for clarifying that, Rob. It's not a position I agree with, but it's one I can respect.</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 11:41:42 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rob Salmond</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345313#post345313</link>
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						<p>I agree with you, Emma. Nobody can have it both ways. </p><p>In my view, the ban on election-day advertising is egregious, and has become even more egregious now that a third of the country chooses to vote with advertising all around them. I agree with David Farrar on this: those…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 11:36:35 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Graeme Edgeler</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345312#post345312</link>
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						<p><q>So either this isn’t a grievous violation of free speech, or the ban on election-day advertising is.</q></p><p>As much as I like it, the ban on election day advertising is a grievous violation of free speech.</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 11:25:09 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Bart Janssen</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345311#post345311</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345311#post345311</guid>
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						<p><q>In the US, the Republican Party</q></p><p>Invoking the US Republican party as an equivalence to the NZ National party is effectively godwinning your own post.</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 11:00:11 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Emma Hart</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345308#post345308</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345308#post345308</guid>
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						<p><q>Hamilton also proposed a shorter advance voting period of 10-14 days and tougher restrictions on campaigning where early voting is taking place.</q></p><p>Both of these changes were proposed by the Electoral Commission. Currently there are no restrictions on election advertising in and around advance voting booths. Scrutineers can’t even be…</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 10:53:05 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>izogi</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345307#post345307</link>
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						<p><q>This, National says, is to prevent the problem of political parties not having sufficient time to do “proper scrutiny” of the roll.</q></p><p>To what degree do political parties scrutinise the roll at present, and what examples are there of anything coming of it?</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 10:44:27 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Public Address</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345306#post345306</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/speaker-buying-a-fight-with-democracy/?p=345306#post345306</guid>
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						<p>Discussion from blog post.</p>
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				<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2015 10:44:27 +1200</pubDate>
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