Public Address | Cafe | Legal Beagle: Election '20: The Special Votes

Craig Young

Fri, 06 Nov 2020 17:33:24 +1300

Let's face it, Nick Smith is dead man walking. The Nats can be quite ruthless when it comes to purging the weak and discarded, so this may be his last term and probably Gerrys as well.

Ben Austin

Fri, 06 Nov 2020 08:47:43 +1300

2PM today, today! Hope everyone is excited!

Tim McKenzie

Wed, 21 Oct 2020 13:50:17 +1300

…all of which is very interesting if you’re not-a-fan of Nick Smith. With 34 National seats (and no changes to the number of electorates won by National) he misses out on getting back in on the list
I think Maureen Pugh loses her seat first, so National would have to…

Ben Austin

Sun, 18 Oct 2020 23:06:33 +1300

The overseas votes will be interesting – whilst they usually apparently have a stronger Green presence, I suspect this year Labour will do pretty well, as Ardern has had a very high positive profile overseas. I certainly have a lot of people semi randomly praise her to me here in…

Ian Tinkler

Sun, 18 Oct 2020 17:23:12 +1300

I think open lists are an option. There is an option used in the London Assembly. However for this to work in NZ that would mean some kind of regionising lists to get the options short enough

webweaver

Sun, 18 Oct 2020 16:55:32 +1300

...all of which is very interesting if you're not-a-fan of Nick Smith. With 34 National seats (and no changes to the number of electorates won by National) he misses out on getting back in on the list – http://polled.co.nz/mmpcalculator.php

Ian Tinkler

Sun, 18 Oct 2020 13:12:12 +1300

Last Night I didn’t think the specials would make any difference. After reading your analysis and thinking about it I have concluded don’t create a model at 2:15am and think it makes sense. That is my model not yours.

My model does create a different result than yours. That is…

Ben Austin

Sun, 18 Oct 2020 08:20:48 +1300

Thanks for the explainer – I must say I hadn't known anything really about the Special Votes before!

Public Address

Sun, 18 Oct 2020 08:20:48 +1300

Discussion from blog post.