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		<title>Public Address | Cafe | Hard News: A Big Idea</title>
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		<description><![CDATA[A talking shop where we put the questions and our community illuminates the issues.]]></description>
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				<title>Bart Janssen</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311867#post311867</link>
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						<p><q>    Like say, working for families (which apparently National invented /sarcasm) and something else for those who choose not to have families.</p><p>David Parker says, it helps everyone</q></p><p>I was specifically referring to assistance for low income workers who don't have families and will need help to cover the increased cost…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 01 May 2014 09:25:25 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Sofie Bribiesca</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311814#post311814</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311814#post311814</guid>
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						<q> If you say it won’t work with only people voluntarily in the scheme then I don’t think it will work if everyone is in the scheme. There are already enough people in KS that if the idea is sound it will work and this will save forcing people into it…</q>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 18:53:34 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Andrew C</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311812#post311812</link>
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						<p><q>can find themselves paying an annual fee of $200 or more, plus 2% of their total each year, plus 5% on contributions</q></p><p>OMFG</p><p>And I thought the fees NZ brokers/funds charge was rapacious!  That is simply outrageous</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 18:46:09 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>bmk</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311808#post311808</link>
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						<p><q>What does that achieve? I asked David Parker to consider low income and beneficiary situations of which isn't compulsory, and I expect they will make sure it's affordable. They are increasing minimum wage too remember , that's another tool</q></p><p>Well if they raise the contribution for those voluntarily (which is…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 18:30:57 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Steve Barnes</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311806#post311806</link>
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						<p><q>Build cheap housing which will both employ people and lower the cost of housing.</q><br />Yup, old established techniques that have been tried and tested over millennia, not so much the mock Tuscan micro Mc Mansions we have foisted upon us.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 18:28:52 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Steve Barnes</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311804#post311804</link>
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						<p><q> I’m not in KS but if I were it would feel like a tax. </q><br />How about "Deductions for expenses incurred" instead?, sounds more friendly than Tax. Whereas KS is more like "Deductions for expenses that will occur at a time when you ain't got much coming in"</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 18:23:48 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Sofie Bribiesca</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311803#post311803</link>
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						<p><q> I could be in favour of it if KS were to remain voluntary. But in this form I’m sadly feeling like this might be the first election I don’t vote in.</q></p><p>What does that achieve? I asked David Parker to consider low income and beneficiary situations of which isn't compulsory,…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 18:19:11 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Steve Barnes</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311801#post311801</link>
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						<p><q>But since it’s designed to do exactly the opposite I’m not seeing how it helps me.</q><br />Apparently we are here to help others. I just don't know what the others are here for.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 18:10:40 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Sofie Bribiesca</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311799#post311799</link>
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						<p><q>I’m in the “trying to save to buy a house” category so the only way this would help me is if it pushed interest rates up or caused house prices to collapse.</q></p><p>I'm in the "trying to sell a house"category and if interest rates stay low, that has to help…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 18:07:24 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>bmk</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311796#post311796</link>
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						<p><q>Imagine what would happen if we introduced a little supply side economics into this.</p><p>The biggest problem facing most people is the cost of housing, rent or mortgage.</q></p><p>Now that's really inspirational. Rather than meaning people get less money in their pockets. Build cheap housing which will both employ people…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 17:55:23 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>bmk</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311795#post311795</link>
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						<p><q>No. It just isn’t a tax, by any definition of tax I can think of.</q></p><p>I agree with Ben on this. I'm not in KS but if I were it would feel like a tax. Money taken out of my pay before I see it which I maybe able to…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 17:53:42 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Moz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311793#post311793</link>
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						<p><q>David Parker says, it helps everyone</q></p><p>Except those poor people who are debt-free, anyone saving money, and those living off the earnings.</p><p>Of banking, not prostitution, that is.</p><p>I'm in the "trying to save to buy a house" category so the only way this would help me is if it…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 17:46:39 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Sofie Bribiesca</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311786#post311786</link>
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						<p><q>Like say, working for families (which apparently National invented /sarcasm) and something else for those who choose not to have families.</q></p><p> <a href="https://www.labour.org.nz/media/labours-reserve-bank-upgrade-will-help-low-income-kiwis" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">David Parker says, it helps everyone</a></p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 17:30:02 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Moz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311784#post311784</link>
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						<p><q>I'm not entirely sure what the exceptions are.</q></p><p>In Oz there are so few exemptions that it might as well be mandatory. If you're a permanent resident or NZ'er you can't avoid putting money in unless you stop earning or retire, and you can [[http://www.australiansuper.com/superannuation/withdrawing-my-super/withdraw-early.aspx|only get it out to avoid…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 17:26:18 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Bart Janssen</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311778#post311778</link>
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						<p><q>a drop in income tax at the time</q></p><p>NO. God no. Don't even think about it. The drop in tax is one of the major factors in the US federal budget crises.</p><p>Much better to use one of the other existing tools to raise income for people living close to…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 17:06:52 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Sofie Bribiesca</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311774#post311774</link>
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						<p>Yes, I suspected it might be distress, soo I've asked him. Some beneficiaries are already in Kiwisaver, and to head toward 9% could put them straight into the distress category anyway so that hopefully is addressed too. I await his answer.<br />Oh, and thanks for yours too!</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 16:54:41 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311771#post311771</link>
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						OIC. I'm not entirely sure what the exceptions are. Exempting people in distress makes a lot of sense, as does allowing premature access to the funds for people in severe financial distress. Hopefully Labour's nutted that stuff out for their scheme. But also note that if it's a small percentage…
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 16:41:09 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Sofie Bribiesca</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311769#post311769</link>
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						No David said beneficiaries would not be required to save, and I thought he meant there are other exceptions to the oz scheme ,whether he meant people (like beneficiaries) or whether he meant exceptions to required % of savings or other exceptions, I wasn't sure. Thought you'd know with being…
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 16:31:31 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311764#post311764</link>
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						By exceptions do you mean objections? I don't have any objections to the Australian system, especially since it became possible to transfer my funds here, which was my only objection before.
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 16:14:26 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Sofie Bribiesca</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311763#post311763</link>
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						<p><q> I have a huge fund of my own in Australia,</q></p><p>Hey Ben, what are the exceptions that you have with the Australian one,as Kiwisaver will be compulsory,with exceptions limited to the Oz scheme.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 16:09:44 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Steve Barnes</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311762#post311762</link>
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						<p>Imagine what would happen if we introduced a little supply side economics into this.</p><p>The biggest problem facing most people is the cost of housing, rent or mortgage.<br />Say by introducing building sector reforms allowing people more latitude in building their own houses, get rid of some of the knee-jerk…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 15:57:11 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311759#post311759</link>
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						I'm pretty bored of this argument. You're just insisting I see it your way, and that everyone else will too. I don't think they will and this discussion can go nowhere. It's entirely semantic, the worst kind of discussion. Fuck it, whatever. It's not a tax. Who fucking cares? It's…
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 15:42:26 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rob Stowell</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311756#post311756</link>
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						<p><q>If you don’t want to see it as a tax, no one can make you.</q><br />No. It just isn’t a tax, by any definition of tax I can think of. <br /><q> And you won’t be able to stop most people seeing it as one. </q><br />Like the 2 million kiwis who have…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 15:36:43 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311755#post311755</link>
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						<p><q>I agree, the degree to which this would work to control inflation is unknown. But it seems pretty straightforward that it should help.</q></p><p>Yes, I agreed with this when I said as my opening sentence:<br /><q>Any extra tools are good, really.</q><br />And then:<br /><q> It’s a much more powerful tool than…</q></p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 15:34:27 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rob Stowell</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311754#post311754</link>
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						<p><q>What about the people who are already donkey deep in non KS plans, </q><br />Most plans have (or will develop) some sort of 'Kiwisaver compliant' option. Mine did. Stupid not to, with all the carrots there were for KS. Even stupider if they didn't once it becomes compulsary.<br />Of course only…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 15:27:59 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>James Littlewood*</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311752#post311752</link>
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						<p>I still think the problem is more with compulsory KS. What about the people who are already donkey deep in  non KS plans, as well they should be? </p><p>Can a government credibly force them to contribute a minimum amount to a non KS plan? Or, can a government credibly force…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 15:18:00 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rich of Observationz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311751#post311751</link>
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						<p><q>There's no law that says they have to</q></p><p>The OCR is the rate the Reserve Bank is willing to lend to NZ banks at, (secured against the banks required government bond holdings). It thus sets a ceiling on the rate they will pay on (overnight) retail deposits (as at the…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 15:11:18 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311750#post311750</link>
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						<p><q>I can see your point but you are arguing semantics for the sake of it.</q></p><p>No more than anyone else is in this. But yes, what a pointless argument. If you don't want to see it as a tax, no one can make you. And you won't be able to…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 15:09:07 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Andrew C</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311749#post311749</link>
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						<p><q>Far out ! Zilch kiwisaver funds invested in NZ.</q></p><p>I want to clarify.  </p><p>0% in NZ <em>companies</em>.  13% is however invested in NZ cash deposits or bank fixed interest.  But I think the question being asked was about investment which I take to mean in companies.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 15:00:47 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rob Stowell</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311748#post311748</link>
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						<p><q>Do you see why an economist picking a number out of their arse about how to compare OCR and VSR movements might be starting to annoy me?</q><br />Well, you did it :)<br />I agree, the degree to which this would work to control inflation is unknown. But it seems pretty…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 14:54:40 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Bart Janssen</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311747#post311747</link>
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						<p><q>It will have exactly the same impact on you, until the day you retire.</q></p><p>I can see your point but you are arguing semantics for the sake of it. A tax goes to the govt which spends it for your benefit or saves it for your benefit (Superannuation). Kiwisaver goes…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 14:53:58 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Richard Aston</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311746#post311746</link>
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						<p><q>I’m with Gareth Morgan, and as best I can tell – 0%</q></p><p>Far out ! Zilch kiwisaver funds invested in NZ. Ok I get it &ndash; I think-  funds invested offshore bring offshore money back in as interest earned. But don't we need investment money in NZ to invest in…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 14:53:07 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rob Stowell</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311745#post311745</link>
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						<p><q>But the longer that horizon is, the more like a tax it feels, and acts.</q><br />I just don't think that's true. Even if the *effect* is the same (and I don't think it is), psychologically it feels different. <br />Kiwisaver has seriously changed how much we're saving for retirement (and, ahem,…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 14:50:20 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Richard Aston</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311744#post311744</link>
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						<p><q>You won’t be spending that money and stimulating the economy with it</q></p><p>Isn't that the point, a overly stimulated economy = inflation ?</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 14:48:23 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311743#post311743</link>
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						<q>How much effect you’d get from an equivalent “VSR” hike is moot. But I think the 20:1 ratio you use is on the high side. One of the bank economists on MR guessed 10:1. I’d imagine in a compulsory scheme (which might well include the self-employed) it could be considerably…</q>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 14:45:53 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311742#post311742</link>
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						<p><q> I agree with cathy – it’s silly to call compulsory retirement savings a tax. </q></p><p>No, it's really not. It will have exactly the same impact on you, until the day you retire. For a young person, that can be 40 years into the future. In other words, the money is…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 14:35:08 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rob Stowell</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311741#post311741</link>
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						<p>25 basis points is the standard OCR move. Not 'massive'. I can't remember any moves of less than .25% but maybe that's common too.<br />How much effect you'd get from an equivalent "VSR" hike is moot. But I think the 20:1 ratio you use is on the high side. One…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 14:28:25 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311739#post311739</link>
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						<p><q>Because stock market bubbles are so much better than property market bubbles.</q></p><p>They certainly are. We've lived through many stock market bubbles over the last 50 years, and the effects have not devastated the economy. A property bubble, however, if it actually popped, would be far more catastrophic. And before…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 14:23:25 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311736#post311736</link>
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						<p><q>While this is not ‘years’ it will mean that the RB can announce “the OCR goes up today” and it has an immediate effect in some areas (like exchange rates), saying “kiwisaver will go up in 2 months” just wont have the same immediate effect as raising the OCR. </q></p><p>See…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 14:01:42 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Kumara Republic</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311729#post311729</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311729#post311729</guid>
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						<p>And surprise surprise, the lobby group formerly known as the Business Roundtable <a href="http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/industries/9992852/NZ-needs-foreign-money-NZ-Initiative" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">is <em>still</em> raindancing to John Frum of Wall St</a>.</p><p>My 2c in that article:</p><p>__I see the usual suspects are still waiting for John Frum to fly over from Wall St. Hate to break it to them, but…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 13:17:07 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Aidan</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311724#post311724</link>
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						<p><q>Because stock market bubbles are so much better than property market bubbles.</q></p><p>Note that Germany has rules about corporate governance that give workers input into the running of the company.  Apparently this is a major reason German companies are "valued" less on the stock market. I don't know if this…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 12:37:07 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Andrew C</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311723#post311723</link>
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						<p><q>But among all those Kiwisaver schemes how much is actually invested back into NZ ? How much is plugged into more inflationary property investments ? </q></p><p>I'm with Gareth Morgan, and as best I can tell &ndash; 0%</p><p>Disclaimer: some is invested with international index funds, so there is a small…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 12:18:43 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Richard Aston</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311718#post311718</link>
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						<p><q>More money into the investment pool as opposed to into the overseas banks can’t be a bad thing can it?</q></p><p>Yeah I had been thinking another benefit of increasing savings via increase savings rates in Kiwisaver would benefit our economy by providing more money for investment in NZ business etc…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 12:03:29 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Andrew C</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311710#post311710</link>
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						<p><q>When a New Zealand resident earns a profit – whether from their own business or from the receipt of dividends – they are likely to spend a proportion of that income on goods and services within New Zealand.</q></p><p>This is the bit that confuses me, as surely that applies to…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 11:49:37 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>WH</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311705#post311705</link>
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						<p><q>I did a quick chart of NZ/US exchange rate vs OCR since 1999 and I am not convinced they are highly correlated. As an example, the last 5 or so years has seen an increase in the x rate but the OCR has remained almost flat.</q></p><p>This is a bit…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 11:40:47 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Bart Janssen</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311703#post311703</link>
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						<p><q>you basically have a banana republic.</q></p><p>milk-powder republic</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 11:40:24 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Kumara Republic</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311702#post311702</link>
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						<p><q>ETA: but the vital thing is: can Labour sell the idea? This plus a CGT could (over time) put NZ on much stronger economic footing. But we need a change of govt first. (And calling this a ‘tax’ isn’t going to help that … )</q></p><p>And in the long run,…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 11:37:37 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Kumara Republic</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311701#post311701</link>
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						<p><q>When profits are repatriated overseas, another country’s boat builder gets the order and the cycle of profits to spending to income to profits within New Zealand stops.</p><p>You can get a sense of the “circular flow” model of economic activity here (I found this by doing a Google search for…</q></p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 11:32:32 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>WH</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311698#post311698</link>
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						<p>In broad terms, while I'm sure it's not perfect, this proposal has a lot of good things going for it.</p><p>I don't think the items that concern Kiwisaver should be allowed to distract people from how good the change would be.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 11:13:44 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rob Stowell</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311697#post311697</link>
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						<p>It’s a great idea, and great to see a strong new initiative. <br />How effective this is at controlling the confluence of inflation, house prices, and the exchange rate is something only implementation will show. Suggestion on Morning Report that raising Kiwisaver 1% would be the same as raising the OCR…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 11:11:13 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Idiot Savant</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311696#post311696</link>
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						<p><q>Maybe high house prices are a result of secular stagnation. If so, those other articles might hint at approached to reconfigure the incentives to make capital investment more attractive.</q></p><p>Because stock market bubbles are so much better than property market bubbles.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 11:09:50 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>WH</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311694#post311694</link>
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						<p><q>This is the bit that prompted my previous question WH, can you explain why? I'm not arguing the opposite side, I just don't understand.</q></p><p>When a New Zealand resident earns a profit &ndash; whether from their own business or from the receipt of dividends &ndash; they are likely to spend…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 11:02:51 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Bart Janssen</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311689#post311689</link>
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						<p><q>While mortgage profits go to banks’ coffers, so do KS profits.</q></p><p>The difference is in what the money is doing. For mortgages most of the money is going into raising the price (not value) of houses in NZ. For KS most of the money is invested in businesses which have…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 10:47:40 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Bart Janssen</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311686#post311686</link>
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						<p><q>Just as a side observation, it’s amazing to see so many people, here, there and everywhere, talking about the economy, and how it works, and who it should serve.</q></p><p>Which again is such a refreshing thing to see as a result of a political party releasing a policy.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 10:40:54 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Deborah</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311684#post311684</link>
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				<description><![CDATA[
						Just as a side observation, it's amazing to see so many people, here, there and everywhere, talking about the economy, and how it works, and who it should serve.
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 10:23:47 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Paul Campbell</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311678#post311678</link>
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						<p><q>There is also a huge lag in effects from the OCR. Changes take years to settle in, because people have huge chunks of mortgage on fixed terms. I have most of mine that way.</q></p><p>I think that applies to raising the kiwisaver rate too, but for different reasons &ndash; just…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 09:55:27 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>cathy holloway</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311677#post311677</link>
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						<p>i may be just dumb, but i thought taxes were when your money was taken away and you never saw it again.</p><p>when your money is taken away and put into your own account, still belongs to you but you can't spend it until later, how is that a tax?…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 09:54:59 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>James Littlewood*</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311676#post311676</link>
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						<p>Couple of other musings, in no particular order.</p><p>While mortgage profits go to banks' coffers, so do KS profits. </p><p>Carter's scheme (which seems like a good idea) will give banks more KS revenue. So banks aren't necessarily the bad guys (even if they are in other ways). Maybe some more…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 09:54:17 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Kumara Republic</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311675#post311675</link>
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						<q>I wish I had asked this question when Rod Oram made his initial post – yes the profit etc now does go overseas, but then again didn’t the overseas buyer also just deposit a massive chunk of money into NZ to the seller? Surely that is a good thing, and…</q>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 09:52:23 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>cathy holloway</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311674#post311674</link>
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						<p>yes, national has a policy of stealing policies.</p><p>i guess that's a reasonable thing if you have no constructive policies of your own and can't think of any.</p><p>gives labour a dilemma, either don't announce any policies until the last minute and risk being seen as having nothing to offer,…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 09:48:09 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Bart Janssen</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311673#post311673</link>
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						<p><q> Bad enough with these Australian banks profiting from household debt.</q></p><p>The banks take a couple of billion dollars out of the NZ economy <strong>every</strong> year! That is the real cost of the housing market, every mortgage with those banks is money that disappears from New Zealand.</p><p>That's not to say…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 09:43:35 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>James Littlewood*</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311672#post311672</link>
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						<p>Most of the people who currently opt out of KS probably come in two types: young, poorer people who can't afford it, and richer, older people who are already heavily invested in non KS schemes.</p><p>I'm not entirely sure it's any worse for a government to force poor people to…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 09:40:56 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Bart Janssen</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311671#post311671</link>
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						<p><q> the OCR also is ... a tax whose revenue collection lands disproportionately in the overseas accounts of large global financial firms. I don't buy it.</q></p><p>This!</p><p>The exciting thing about this policy is that it actually seems to be trying to address problems in our economy rather than trivially grabbing…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 09:39:47 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Andrew C</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311670#post311670</link>
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						<p><q>Our lax overseas investment rules allow vendors to sell their assets to foreign owners at higher prices but the repatriation of profits abroad tends to weaken our economy</q></p><p>This is the bit that prompted my previous question WH, can you explain <em>why</em>?  I'm not arguing the opposite side, I just…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 09:33:24 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Andrew C</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311669#post311669</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311669#post311669</guid>
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						<p><q> I’d just compensate by reducing the principal repayments on the mortgage. </q></p><p>Or perhaps borrow more, figuring you will pay it back when your kiwisaver matures.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 09:31:36 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Andrew C</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311668#post311668</link>
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						<p><q> they also tend to increase the exchange rate.</q></p><p>I did a quick chart of NZ/US exchange rate vs OCR since 1999 and I am not convinced they are highly correlated.  As an example, the last 5 or so years has seen an increase in the x rate but the OCR…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 09:30:41 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rich of Observationz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311667#post311667</link>
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						<p>Kiwisaver isn't going to give most peoples much of a retirement income: if you put in 4% for 30 years, then you'll have a fund (in real terms, with returns matching inflation) of 120% of your average (not final) salary.</p><p>At an annuity rate of 7%, you'd get an income…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 09:26:32 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Andrew C</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311666#post311666</link>
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						<p><q> And we need to stop selling natural assets (land, forests etc) to overseas buyers so income from them, capital gain etc goes the same direction</q></p><p>I wish I had asked this question when Rod Oram made his initial post &ndash; yes the profit etc now does go overseas, but then…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 09:23:47 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>WH</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311647#post311647</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311647#post311647</guid>
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						<p><a href="https://www.labour.org.nz/sites/default/files/issues/eu-mp-policy.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">This is good stuff.</a></p><p>Parker has noted that New Zealand has low general inflation but high house price inflation.  The Reserve Bank has historically responded to house price inflation by raising interest rates for everyone.   These high interest rates reduce demand by hurting households with mortgages and businesses with variable…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 00:24:56 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311641#post311641</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311641#post311641</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						But there's no VSR now. That's its neutral position &ndash; zero. If you introduce it, every single taxpayer will start getting it taken out of their pay. It will mean they will have less money in their pockets, in direct proportion to the rate. In that respect, everyone will feel…
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 22:26:15 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rich of Observationz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311626#post311626</link>
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						<p>It occurs to me that if I was short of money and the government reduced my take-home pay through increased Kiwisaver contributions, I'd just compensate by reducing the principal repayments on the mortgage. (With the reasonable justification that I'd have more money later when the Kiwisaver matures).</p><p>That leaves an…</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 20:29:00 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Gareth Ward</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311625#post311625</link>
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						Because both the OCR and the VSR have "neutral" positions &ndash; i.e. a (say) 7% contribution rate is standard, not a tax but a compulsory private savings account. They may drop that to 6.75% during stimulators periods. That isn't a benefit. Increasing the rate you transfer your own money to…
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 20:24:22 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>debunk</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311622#post311622</link>
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						True.  And we need to stop selling natural assets (land, forests etc) to overseas buyers so income from them, capital gain etc goes the same direction.   We haven't learned anything from Rogernomics and selling railways etc to the "investment" banksters like Fay Richwhite.   Bad enough with these Australian banks profiting…
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 20:07:12 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311621#post311621</link>
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						<p><q>but that’s only true if you believe the OCR also is “imposing a tax”</q></p><p>It's a bit hard to see the OCR as a tax. It's a far more complicated mechanism. But the variable savings rate is pretty much an identical mechanism &ndash; you take an amount out of people's…</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 19:42:15 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>nzlemming</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311620#post311620</link>
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						<p><q> The words “tu quoque”, “pot”, “kettle” and “black” immediately came to mind.</q></p><p>I prefer "J'accuse!"<br />;-)</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 19:27:41 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>nzlemming</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311619#post311619</link>
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						<p><q>Whatever the merits, it's a real level up that David Parker managed to coherently articulate a policy from Labour that merits more than a eye-roll. But it's also incumbent on everyone else to remember public policy is more than a game of poll points.</q></p><p>Yes to both points, Craig.</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 19:26:04 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Gareth Ward</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311618#post311618</link>
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						<p><q> Since it is essentially imposing a tax </q><br />Hearing this a lot &ndash; plenty of smart people claiming "regressive taxation!" &ndash; but that's only true if you believe the OCR also is "imposing a tax". At which point it's a tax whose revenue collection lands disproportionately in the overseas accounts of…</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 19:24:32 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Ian Dalziel</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311603#post311603</link>
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						I wonder what provisions there might be for International Pension Fund Corporations (and <em>their rights</em>) folded into the TPPA?
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 17:14:50 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
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						I like some of this. The variable savings rate is a very curious and interesting idea. I don’t think we can foresee how it would be used clearly. Since it is essentially imposing a tax, it gives the Reserve Bank the ability to bring inflation down by raising it. It’s…
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 17:03:27 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Gareth Ward</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311594#post311594</link>
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						An intriguing idea, for this non-economist anyway.  I presume the variations will be relatively in line with OCR adjustments &ndash; i.e. you'd expect your Kiwisaver contributions to change by 0.25%-0.5% each adjustment. It would be much broader in it's inflation-control (as the number of people in employment > number who…
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 15:14:05 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Kumara Republic</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311590#post311590</link>
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						<p><q>Of course Blinglish is.Apparently it’s old .<br />I noticed a couple of comments on Brian Fallow. “National should steal this"….</q></p><p>Listening to Blinglish on Morning Report earlier today, he was suddenly concerned about the policy driving up living costs for NZers. The words “tu quoque”, “pot”, “kettle” and “black” immediately…</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 14:22:11 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Aidan</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311589#post311589</link>
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						<p><a href="http://slackwire.blogspot.com.au/2014/04/wealth-distribution-and-puzzle-of.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Germany has low net wealth</a>, half that of Greece &amp; France, less than a third of that in Spain. Weird eh? Turns out a good deal of this is due to rules and regulations that favour capital investment over fetishistic home ownership</p><p><a href="http://www.demos.org/blog/4/22/14/pikettys-capital-what-wealth" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Wealth is a social construct</a>. Policies can change wealth,…</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 14:19:48 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>James Green</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311585#post311585</link>
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						I haven't fully thought this through as an idea, but one way of modifying this would be to include a Kiwisaver surcharge on home lending (*in addition to, not replacing the existing proposal). That is, if you can afford to borrow more for a home, then you can also afford…
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 13:59:28 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Sofie Bribiesca</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311572#post311572</link>
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						<p><q>That's quite significant. I see that Rob Hosking isn't dismissing it either.</q></p><p>Of course <a href="http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&amp;objectid=11246059" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Blinglish is.</a>Apparently it's old .<br />I noticed a couple of comments on Brian Fallow. "National should steal this"....</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 12:50:02 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311569#post311569</link>
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						<p><q>I suspect that the battleground will be at a much lower level: will quelling the exchange rate mean children’s clothes cost more? (Yes, a bit, but it will really help our export sector.) </q></p><p>I'm going to lay a trigger warning on you Russell, for a word I know you really…</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 12:47:42 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Rich of Observationz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311568#post311568</link>
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						<p>There is a fundamental problem with all forms of retirement "savings":</p><p><em>All the goods and services retirees consume have to be produced by workers</em>  (or imported in exchange for exports, which amounts to the same thing).</p><p>We currently have a fairly effective retirement "savings" plan &ndash; house price inflation. It…</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 12:46:37 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>llew40</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311565#post311565</link>
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						<p>Its well worth a look, but like Tamsyn Parker, I am a little bit nervous about the way the combination of compulsory Kiwisaver (which having lived in Oz for a few decades I support) and Government control over individual contribution rates will work in practice.</p><p>Having been an assiduous Kiwisaver…</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 12:40:42 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311561#post311561</link>
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						Any extra tools are good, really. I was glad we brought in LVRs, not because I thought it would help, but because there should at least be tools in the toolbox. It could take a long time to work out how to use them. Or maybe it will be continual…
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 12:17:01 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Russell Brown</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311553#post311553</link>
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						<p><q>Also, Brian Fallow: Labour’s plan looks good.</q></p><p>That's quite significant. I see that Rob Hosking isn't dismissing it either.</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 12:01:42 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Tim Michie</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311551#post311551</link>
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						I think David Parker needs to be very careful not to oversell the effect on the exchange rate, tat Labour and others were considering compulsory (or near to) retirement savings has been known for sometime and the increase of savings, especially while the Cullen fund contributions are halted, in combination…
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 11:47:52 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>John Morrison</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311543#post311543</link>
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						<p>Yes selling this policy will be a test of Labour. Already you can see commentary focussing on the individual &ndash; costlier clothes, not knowing what my future Kiwisaver contribution will be, govt changing my contribution rate.<br />The staus-quo is unsustainable and this looks like a innovative policy that, combined with…</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 11:06:35 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Russell Brown</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311538#post311538</link>
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						Relevant: last month’s Reserve Bank paper <a href="http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/research_and_publications/analytical_notes/2014/an2014_02.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Structural adjustment in New Zealand since the commodity boom</a>.
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 10:50:57 +1200</pubDate>
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				<title>Public Address</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/hard-news-a-big-idea/?p=311537#post311537</link>
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						<p>Discussion from blog post.</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 29 Apr 2014 10:50:57 +1200</pubDate>
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