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		<title>Public Address | Cafe | Cracker: All In</title>
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		<description><![CDATA[A talking shop where we put the questions and our community illuminates the issues.]]></description>
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				<title>Madeleine</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=84752#post84752</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=84752#post84752</guid>
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						How much did you lose?
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				<pubDate>Mon, 08 Dec 2008 17:46:48 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Kyle Matthews</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=77564#post77564</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=77564#post77564</guid>
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						<p><a href="http://blog.wired.com/27bstroke6/2008/11/report-ess-voti.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Report: ES&amp;S Voting Machines Can Be Maliciously Calibrated to Favor Specific Candidates</a></p><blockquote><p>Blaze said the calibration function on the ES&amp;S machine isn't password-protected, making it easy for a poll worker &mdash; or even a voter &mdash; to access the calibration menu in the middle of an election using a PEB device (Personalized…</p></blockquote>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 04 Nov 2008 13:04:04 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Sacha</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=77540#post77540</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=77540#post77540</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>Voting, on the other hand, is purely a cost. There's no money to be made from having voting systems, so operators will naturally be attracted to the cheapest possible option. That accurate voting has a value all of its own doesn't attract the accountants</p></blockquote><p>There are unfortunate parallels with parts…</p>
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				<pubDate>Tue, 04 Nov 2008 12:43:11 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Stephen Judd</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=77085#post77085</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=77085#post77085</guid>
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						The other aspect to the ATM comparison is that some unreliability can be an acceptable cost of doing business, and can be managed contractually with the suppliers, or insured against, or simply written off. A vote count cannot be treated that way.
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				<pubDate>Sat, 01 Nov 2008 21:46:55 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Matthew Poole</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=77080#post77080</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=77080#post77080</guid>
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						<blockquote><p><em>bank ATM's manage it</em></p><p>And didn't Diebold make both?</p></blockquote><p>Emphasis on the past tense. Diebold Election Systems or whatever it was called got flogged off. They decided that there wasn't enough money in election systems, particularly for the harm being done to their reputation.</p><p>Banks pay good money for quality…</p>
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				<pubDate>Sat, 01 Nov 2008 21:27:42 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Sam F</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=77078#post77078</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=77078#post77078</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>And didn't Diebold make both?</p></blockquote><p>Diebold: making Kiwibank customers vaguely uneasy since quite a while ago.</p>
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				<pubDate>Sat, 01 Nov 2008 21:16:56 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Sacha</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76982#post76982</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76982#post76982</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>You know the system is corrupt when they say it's too expensive to give voters a paper reciept of their cast ballot. (Yet bank ATM's manage it)</p></blockquote><p>And didn't Diebold make both?</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 19:12:30 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Matthew Poole</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76972#post76972</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76972#post76972</guid>
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						Using machines to print out ballot papers, which are then OCR'd during the initial count, is fine. Using machines to tally votes right from the get-go is just begging for all kinds of fuckery and skulduggery. The former would greatly speed up counting, since you could be pretty certain that…
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 17:28:09 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Ian MacKay</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76971#post76971</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76971#post76971</guid>
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						<p>Makes our old paper system pretty reliable. When counting up we would go to enormous lengths to check the where-abouts that last ballot had got to. Having officiated in 13 elections I can think of not one error. We are well served.<br />Though I did give a  special vote to…</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 17:19:24 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>JohnAmiria</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76967#post76967</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76967#post76967</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>watch this video of a screwed up voting machine:</p><p><em>"You should never leave the voting booth without knowing who you voted for" </em>says the technician, who will be on hand to 'recallibrate' as required.</p></blockquote><p>Yeah, right. Considering how many PAS ppl hit 'post reply' when they mean to hit 'preview' (myself…</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 16:50:48 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Matthew Poole</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76965#post76965</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76965#post76965</guid>
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						<p>And on an entirely-related note: <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/10/29/AR2008102904105.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">WaPo is reporting</a> that Maryland and Virginia will be going back to the old ways after Tuesday's election.</p><blockquote><p>"The battle for the hearts and minds of voters on whether electronic systems are good or bad has been lost," Brace said. The academics and computer scientists…</p></blockquote>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 16:50:18 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Matthew Poole</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76959#post76959</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76959#post76959</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>Again, paper works quite well for this whole voting thing. The #1 requirement for a voting system is surely 'getting it right'.</p></blockquote><p>Unless you're the US, in which case the #1 requirement is "Keeping t3h meedja happy" by giving them a result as quickly as possible. Accuracy is entirely optional.…</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 16:30:22 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Sacha</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76934#post76934</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76934#post76934</guid>
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						<p>Heck, if Apple can make touch screens work cheaply enough to drive the iPhone, etc, then where's the problem?</p><blockquote><p>I have this wonderful vision of young people waiting patiently to enter the booths, with the silence occasionally broken by cries of "Boom! Headshot!"</p></blockquote><p>Hmm.  Practical implications.  Wonder if they'd also…</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 15:41:07 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Kyle Matthews</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76930#post76930</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76930#post76930</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>But touch screens add a whole other layer of potential for fucked-uped-ness, because they have their own software for interpreting where on the screen the user has pressed.</p></blockquote><p>Only some touch screens do that. Infrared and ultrasound models stay aligned.</p><p>Why counties are using technology that goes out of whack…</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 15:19:24 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Matthew Poole</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76922#post76922</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76922#post76922</guid>
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						Kyle, if it was just a mouse-based interface, you'd be right. But touch screens add a whole other layer of potential for fucked-uped-ness, because they have their own software for interpreting where on the screen the user has pressed. Mice don't decide how far you've moved and where you've clicked,…
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 14:52:34 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Kyle Matthews</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76918#post76918</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76918#post76918</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>You are sure about that, are you?</p></blockquote><p>Well, I think the last shoot-em-up game I played was Wolfenstein 3D, and it worked then.</p><p>It's possible that the wondrous advances in computer technology since the 1980s have broken the simple algorithms they used to figure it out. If they can break…</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 14:45:26 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Rich of Observationz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76912#post76912</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76912#post76912</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>an amendment would 'only' need a 2/3 majority in both houses.</p></blockquote><p>Plus approval by 3/4 of the states, which is why the 27th Amendment took 200 years to ratify.</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 14:41:34 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Don Christie</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76901#post76901</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76901#post76901</guid>
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						<p><a href="http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=news-000002976346" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Paper voting in the USA</a> is on the increase.</p><blockquote><p>If computer game designers can tell when my avatar in a shooting game hits the bad guy</p></blockquote><p>You are sure about that, are you?</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 14:17:41 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Matthew Poole</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76853#post76853</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76853#post76853</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>If computer game designers can tell when my avatar in a shooting game hits the bad guy, when both my avatar and the bad guy are moving around, I'm not sure why they can't tell when a person is pushing a static button.</p></blockquote><p>Because it's not a real button. It's…</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 12:11:33 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Amy Gale</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76848#post76848</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76848#post76848</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>I believe that voting on Tuesday is written into the Constitution, no?</p></blockquote><p>Nah, it's just a regular ol' law. And even if it was in the Constitution, an amendment would 'only' need a 2/3 majority in both houses.</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 12:05:13 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Sam F</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76843#post76843</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76843#post76843</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>Let's get the game designers to make the voting systems work. Might make the polling booth more exciting and attract the yoof vote. :)</p></blockquote><p>I have this wonderful vision of young people waiting patiently to enter the booths, with the silence occasionally broken by cries of "Boom! Headshot!"</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 11:55:11 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Sacha</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76838#post76838</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76838#post76838</guid>
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						Let's get the game designers to make the voting systems work. Might make the polling booth more exciting and attract the yoof vote. :)
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 11:49:33 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Kyle Matthews</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76830#post76830</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76830#post76830</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>Happened across the States in 2004. Just enough votes to switch from Kerry to Bush to not be too noticeable but enough to win.</p></blockquote><p>Yeah, I know it happens. It's just stupid.</p><p>If computer game designers can tell when my avatar in a shooting game hits the bad guy, when…</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 11:35:57 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Matthew Poole</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76827#post76827</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76827#post76827</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>Oh, but America is Far Too Special And Unique for paper to work.</p><p>(See also: voting on a Saturday, having a tolerable health care system, etc)</p></blockquote><p>I believe that voting on Tuesday is written into the Constitution, no? Changing that would be no small feat.</p><p>As for paper, the usual…</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 11:32:35 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Matthew Poole</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76824#post76824</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76824#post76824</guid>
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						Yes, touch screens aren't infallible. Making sure that they're registering touches in the correct places, especially when the touched area is relatively small, is important. All the more so when you're voting for the leader of the world (not that most Merkins actually recognise how much impact their choice has…
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 11:26:29 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Sofie Bribiesca</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76795#post76795</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76795#post76795</guid>
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						<blockquote>Why a machine should "fall out of callibration"? That's dodgy or fucked up. It's just maths, which shouldn't change during the day.</blockquote> Happened across the States in 2004. Just enough votes to switch from Kerry to Bush to not be too noticeable but enough to win. Saw something a while…
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 10:54:23 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Amy Gale</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76779#post76779</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76779#post76779</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>Seriously, an argument for little bits of paper if ever I saw one.</p></blockquote><p>Oh, but America is Far Too Special And Unique for paper to work.</p><p>(See also: voting on a Saturday, having a tolerable health care system, etc)</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 10:27:53 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Kyle Matthews</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76772#post76772</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76772#post76772</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>Since when does software need to be calibrated? Am I missing something?</p></blockquote><p>I presume calibration means "when a person pushes in this part of the screen, put a tick by this name". The machine is probably generic and you can recalibrate it using that little memory card he had to…</p>
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				<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 10:13:54 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>3410</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76704#post76704</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76704#post76704</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>Over the other side of Pacific, watch this video of a screwed up voting machine:</p></blockquote><p>Since when does software need to be calibrated? Am I missing something?</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 17:43:27 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Damian Christie</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76703#post76703</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76703#post76703</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>If you get 1.75% of the party vote (which is roughly one seat) and you win an electorate, you only get one seat total.</p></blockquote><p>See I worked out it was 0.83%.  100/120.  Which is why Act got 1.5% or whatever it was last time, and got to bring Heather Roy…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 17:37:03 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Kyle Matthews</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76699#post76699</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76699#post76699</guid>
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						<p>Over the other side of Pacific, watch this video of a screwed up voting machine:</p><p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Q9NSVUu8nk" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Q9NSVUu8nk</a></p><p>Seriously, an argument for little bits of paper if ever I saw one.</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 17:03:47 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Matthew Poole</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76698#post76698</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76698#post76698</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>I could be wrong, and often am, but re your calculations for the Maori Party, I'm pretty sure you don't actually get list MPs if you have an overhang, by definition. List MPs top you up to the level of MPs you should get based on the percentage of your…</p></blockquote>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 16:59:13 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Kyle Matthews</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76697#post76697</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76697#post76697</guid>
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						<p>Which is how I reach my conclusion that unless they do better than expected next weekend, National need the Maori Party to actively support them for them to form a government.</p><p>And if they did actively support on confidence and supply, you'd have to wonder how many pieces of legislation…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 16:58:32 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Kyle Matthews</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76696#post76696</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76696#post76696</guid>
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						<blockquote>Kyle: I could be wrong, and often am, but re your calculations for the Maori Party, I'm pretty sure you don't actually get list MPs if you have an overhang, by definition. List MPs top you up to the level of MPs you should get based on the percentage of…</blockquote>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 16:57:09 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Damian Christie</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76694#post76694</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76694#post76694</guid>
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						<p>Yeah I agree, really good discussion here guys, keep it coming.</p><p><strong>Kyle</strong>: I could be wrong, and often am, but re your calculations for the Maori Party, I'm pretty sure you don't actually get list MPs if you have an overhang, by definition.  List MPs top you up to the…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 16:45:44 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Jackie Clark</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76669#post76669</link>
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						<blockquote><p>Jackie and Craig, I'm sorry but having your head in the sand won't stop this recession.</p><p>No, but I'd asphyxiate in fairly short order. :) You're right, using your head as a butt-plug isn't a smart move and it's not happening in this house. But neither is being Chicken Little.…</p></blockquote>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 15:39:21 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Kyle Matthews</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76643#post76643</link>
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						<blockquote>They'll join a National government, be linked with that governments abuse of Maori and others, and lose much of their support. In two or three parliaments, they'll have gone the way of Mauri Pacific, NZ First, United Future, the Jim Anderton Party and all the other vehicles-for-personal-pique that have briefly…</blockquote>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 13:50:03 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Rik</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76641#post76641</link>
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						<p>Great commentary people &ndash; really enjoying reading it.</p><p>Except this cynical post:</p><blockquote><p>i had the sneaking suspicion it was only a flashy layer of coins around a hollow centre.</p><p>in other words, a bit like an actual rich person.</p></blockquote><p>Says a lot about the author, I suspect.</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 13:48:26 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Kyle Matthews</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76640#post76640</link>
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						<blockquote><p>Kyle, there could be 5% of wasted votes (Winston plus Kiwi, Family etc). So 47.5% = 50%.</p></blockquote><p>I was meaning after they eliminated that lot.</p><p>And yes, I know a couple of polls are showing National at about that level, but I think they'll get 43, maybe 44, which will…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 13:48:02 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Rich of Observationz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76637#post76637</link>
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						<blockquote><p>The grass roots will say "go with Labour", Turia will stand up and say "this is why we are going with National", and that's what will happen.</p></blockquote><p>So the Maori Party is really just another personality-based breakaway? They don't want to go with Labour because Helen dissed them over the…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 13:37:54 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Rich of Observationz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76629#post76629</link>
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						<blockquote><p>I'd also point out, Rich, that the linked story was rather careful not to allege any criminal wrongdoing against Key.</p></blockquote><p>And I don't believe he's engaged in any. He worked as an FX trader. That's about making money any (legal) way you can. Mostly. Some players in that game don't…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 13:26:21 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>simon g</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76605#post76605</link>
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						Kyle, there could be 5% of wasted votes (Winston plus Kiwi, Family etc). So 47.5% = 50%.
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 12:27:27 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Kyle Matthews</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76603#post76603</link>
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						<blockquote><p>the Maori Party "going with" National (probably means abstaining and allowing, but the nuances won't let them off the hook)</p></blockquote><p>That will be interesting. If you assume that Maori Party get two list MPs (plus overhang electorate MPs), and Peter Dunne and Jim Anderton are both overhang MPs, then those…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 12:18:45 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>simon g</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76598#post76598</link>
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						<blockquote>He believes Maori Party are genuinely preparing themselves to do a deal with National, and the hui will be as much a farce as they were last time. The grass roots will say "go with Labour", Turia will stand up and say "this is why we are going with National",…</blockquote>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 12:00:25 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Damian Christie</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76592#post76592</link>
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						<blockquote><p>Scrooge preferred notes; coins were for burrowers.</p></blockquote><p><strong>Idiot</strong>: Really?  Try a google image search of "Scrooge McDuck"... :)</p><p>Having written that column yesterday, I went out drinking last night with a journalist far more in-the-know than I am when it comes to Maori Party politics.  He believes Maori Party are…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 11:42:09 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76525#post76525</link>
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						<p>I'm not suggesting we act like Wall Street. You'd need no memory or multiple personalities to do that. Google News has these 2 headlines amusingly juxtaposed this morning:</p><p>Stocks rise after Fed cuts rates by half a point The Associated Press<br />US stocks drop despite Fed interest rate cut International…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 10:02:51 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76518#post76518</link>
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						<blockquote><p>Jackie and Craig, I'm sorry but having your head in the sand won't stop this recession.</p></blockquote><p>No, but I'd asphyxiate in fairly short order.  :)  You're right, using your head as a butt-plug isn't a smart move and it's not happening in this house.  But neither is being Chicken Little.…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 09:58:39 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76513#post76513</link>
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						<blockquote><p>Agreed, although the first I hear to complain, but yes</p></blockquote><p>They didn't get rich by not knowing when to complain.</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 09:52:47 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Sofie Bribiesca</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76509#post76509</link>
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						<blockquote>And it's not the people with lots of money who are going to suffer the most. It never is and it never will be. </blockquote> Agreed,  although the first I hear to complain, but yes<blockquote>One very likely local scenario is that an incoming National government will plausibly use this disaster as…</blockquote>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 09:47:51 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76496#post76496</link>
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						And it's not the people with lots of money who are going to suffer the most. It never is and it never will be. One very likely local scenario is that an incoming National government will plausibly use this disaster as an excuse to cut a lot of benefits. I…
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 09:35:17 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76494#post76494</link>
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						Jackie and Craig, I'm sorry but having your head in the sand won't stop this recession. NZ could have been managed like pure magic but we are still massively reliant on international factors. We will hurt bad if foreigners stop spending money. Some more than others of course &ndash; if…
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 09:31:45 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76493#post76493</link>
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						<blockquote><p>So let me get this right, the world is falling apart (for those poor wee souls with lots of money)</p></blockquote><p>Not quite that simple.  I'm not quite literally walking away from my home because I can't make the payments on my mortgage.  Haven't gotten a pink slip for an early…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 09:31:23 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Sofie Bribiesca</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76477#post76477</link>
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						So let me get this right, the world is falling apart (for those poor wee souls with lots of money)   <blockquote>and our banks are definitely in a damn sight better shape than other parts of the world. </blockquote> as I would say also Craig, and I'm glad we had a frugal…
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 09:01:22 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76449#post76449</link>
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						<p>Che:</p><p>The funny thing is, that even when I thought Labour were a pack of cynically opportunistic rat-bastards, you had to give them their props for being disciplined and effective to a fault.  Among much else, I can't believe Labour was sloppy enough to give National a free shot to…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 07:18:23 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76447#post76447</link>
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						<p>Fnark...</p><p>"And to be fair to Key (whether you like him or not) fraudster tend <strong>NOT</strong> to telegraph what they're up to."</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 07:14:38 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Che Tibby</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76445#post76445</link>
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						<p>whoops <a href="http://www.publicaddress.net/system/topic,1463,hard_news_poll_crunch.sm?p=76442#post76442" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">commented</a> in wrong chain</p><p>bye bye election. this is proof in the old maxim about governments losing elections...</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 07:08:04 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76444#post76444</link>
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						<p>But I do stand by my original point: I really think your average undecided/swing voter is a little more focused on the here and now than John Key not remembering who picked up the tab for a going away lunch twenty years ago.</p><p>In the end, I think John Armstrong…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 07:06:54 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76443#post76443</link>
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						<blockquote><p>I keep hearing that, and you know what? I don't feel it. And there's no point quoting figures at me, I just don't feel like understanding them.</p></blockquote><p>Were we separated at birth, Jackie? :)  I think there's a fair point to be made that we don't want to be getting…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 06:58:03 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Jackie Clark</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76440#post76440</link>
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						<blockquote>Let's just cut the shit and get real about the politics of this. In nine days we go to the polls against the backdrop of the most severe financial crisis to hit the global economy since the Great Depression. </blockquote> I keep hearing that, and you know what? I don't feel…
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 06:15:29 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76439#post76439</link>
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						<blockquote><p>Unless something pretty astounding breaks today</p></blockquote><p>Which it isn't: <a href="http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz-election-2008/news/article.cfm?c_id=1501799&amp;objectid=10540101" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><strong>'Neutron bomb' on Key proves fizzer for Govt </strong></a></p><p>Money quote:</p><blockquote><p>Last weekend, the party believed it had a smoking gun &ndash; a signature on the A$39m first H-Fee cheque bearing a striking resemblance to Mr Key's. Senior party figures advocated making…</p></blockquote>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 06:07:49 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76437#post76437</link>
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						<blockquote><p>The nation is deciding who governs us for the next three years. The attitudes of that party to financial shenanigans at the smart end of town are fully relevant to that. It isn't like accusing somebody of having a custard fetish or whatever.</p></blockquote><p>"Attitudes", Rich? You're damn right this election…</p>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 03:57:31 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76428#post76428</link>
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						<p>Tom Semmens wrote:</p><blockquote><p>If he says he didn't know about this fraudelent transaction, it will be about as believable as Winston saying he knew nothing about Owen Glenn's donation.</p></blockquote><p>Eddie Clark replied:</p><blockquote><p>In most of the organisations I've worked in the HEAD of any given department would actually have been…</p></blockquote>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 23:03:13 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76425#post76425</link>
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						<blockquote><p>Why? Honestly, I am curious as to why should media outlets not touch this story?</p></blockquote><p>Well, Don, the Herald can touch it.  But they better hope it ends up having a little more substance than an Ian Wishart hit piece.  Labour basically doesn't lose &mdash; it's a pretty risky attempt…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 22:40:11 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Eddie Clark</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76423#post76423</link>
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						<p>Meanwhile, on the other side, the ASA has come out with a decision saying Labour's two John's ad is misleading.</p><p>This is interesting for two reasons:</p><p>First, it shows how the internet changes things &ndash; TV and radio political ads are outside the ASA's jurisdiction, and the only reason they…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 22:33:34 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76422#post76422</link>
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						<blockquote><p>Guess somebody complained. I suspect Eugene Bingham is not very happy about his story being rewritten by his bosses.</p></blockquote><p>Russell: I'd think Eugene Bingham would want to be a little more careful about calling anyone a liar.  And if he's that pissy about having his copy (and I can't really…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 22:29:49 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Don Christie</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76421#post76421</link>
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						<p>Craig</p><blockquote><p>I'm wondering if this is going to backlash on Labour and any media outlet that touches it.</p></blockquote><p>Why? Honestly, I am curious as to why should media outlets not touch this story?</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 22:28:00 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76420#post76420</link>
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						<blockquote><p>John Key made his fortune in an industry where it's fairly well documented that sharp practice has often been the way to get ahead.</p></blockquote><p>So is politics, but I'd really want to make sure my "neutron bomb" didn't turn out to be a damnp squib.  Risky play from Labour, and…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 22:25:20 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Glenn Pearce</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76416#post76416</link>
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						<blockquote><p>he was the HEAD of foreign exchange.</p><p>If he says he didn't know about this fraudelent transaction, it will be about as believable as Winston saying he knew nothing about Owen Glenn's donation.</p></blockquote><p>In most of the organisations I've worked in the HEAD of any given department would actually have…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 21:35:54 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Rich of Observationz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76415#post76415</link>
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						<p>Yeah, apart from that bit on the end about "playing the person, not the ball". </p><p>This Is Not A Game of Rugby.</p><p>The nation is deciding who governs us for the next three years. The attitudes of that party to financial shenanigans at the smart end of town are fully…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 21:17:48 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Russell Brown</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76399#post76399</link>
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						The <a href="http://www.3news.co.nz/Video/Politics/tabid/370/articleID/77689/cat/525/Default.aspx#video" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">3 News report</a> was quite a useful summary.
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 19:05:57 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Tom Semmens</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76396#post76396</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76396#post76396</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>My first thoughts on this bit of John Key slipperyness was "well, he was there, but it doesn't mean he knows anything and maybe I couldn't remember exact dates from 1987-88 either."</p><p>But then I read over at the standard that Key wasn't a lowly tea boy at Elders Merchant…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 18:53:12 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Russell Brown</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76390#post76390</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76390#post76390</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>Oh cool. The Herald is re-versioning. Here's the latest version of the paragraph:</p><blockquote><p>Checks by the Herald of court documents made public by Labour have raised questions about several aspects of the version he told, including his memory of when he left the company. He resigned from Elders in June…</p></blockquote>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 18:30:12 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Paul Robeson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76389#post76389</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76389#post76389</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>Point of order: can't really see Labour working with ACT. Or with any of the fundy Christian spinnoffs.</p><p>otherwise, please continue.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 18:22:39 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Russell Brown</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76386#post76386</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76386#post76386</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						It looks like the Herald breaking the story has accelerated Labour's schedule. One News says there'll be a press conference in about 20 minutes.
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 18:07:23 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Russell Brown</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76384#post76384</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76384#post76384</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>It will be interesting to see the details and the spin then applied &ndash; that Herald article doesn't really say much that's damning to me, except the "I definitely left before the payments were made" line he made when clearly he hadn't.</p></blockquote><p>The (ahem) key paragraph of the Herald story…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:59:21 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Rich of Observationz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76382#post76382</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76382#post76382</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>I'm wondering if this is going to backlash on Labour and any media outlet that touches it.</p></blockquote><p>John Key made his fortune in an industry where it's fairly well documented that sharp practice has often been the way to get ahead.</p><p>For others in that line of work, the sharp…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:55:17 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Idiot Savant</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76376#post76376</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76376#post76376</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>Personally I'd go down to my room of gold coins, and frolick like Scrooge McDuck.</p></blockquote><p>Scrooge preferred notes; coins were for burrowers.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:33:45 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76374#post76374</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76374#post76374</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>I'm sure that's the case Craig but not many of those other people are potential coalition partners for National</p></blockquote><p>None actually, but I don't see any potential coalition partners doing a damn thing to keep the party solvent and functional.  Nor do they get to vote on the leadership of…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:30:56 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Glenn Pearce</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76372#post76372</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76372#post76372</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>Nope, when it comes to people around Key who have an entirely rational desire not to get back in that abusive marriage of inconvenience, Rodders is at the back of a very long line.</p></blockquote><p>I'm sure that's the case Craig but not many of those other people are potential coalition…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:23:33 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Tom Semmens</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76370#post76370</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76370#post76370</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						The best thing that could happen for NZ politics would be for both Winston and Rodney to not be re-elected, which would leave them free to persue their rediculous, middle aged crisis of a feud out in the carpark.
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:19:47 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76367#post76367</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76367#post76367</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>The real reason Key is so adamant about not doing a deal with Winston is because of Rodney Hide's pathological hatred of Peters.</p></blockquote><p>Nope, when it comes to people around Key who have an entirely rational desire not to get back in that abusive marriage of inconvenience, Rodders is at…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:08:10 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Glenn Pearce</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76365#post76365</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76365#post76365</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>If that's what it takes, I'm sure we'll hear lots of parsing from John Key as NZF slithers in the back way.</p></blockquote><p>Don't think so. The real reason Key is so adamant about not doing a deal with Winston is because of  Rodney Hide's pathological hatred of Peters.</p><p>Key knows…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:04:28 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Gareth Ward</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76364#post76364</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76364#post76364</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>I'm wondering if this is going to backlash on Labour and any media outlet that touches it.</p></blockquote><p>It will be interesting to see the details and the spin then applied &ndash; that Herald article doesn't really say much that's damning to me, except the "I definitely left before the payments…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:04:13 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76362#post76362</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76362#post76362</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>Am great believer in the freedom of speech too but I can be annoyed at bigotry, which is surely prejudice against a person or party, with no greyness allowed.</p></blockquote><p>In the end, I absolutely respect the one poll that really counts.  if Peters wins Tauranga and/or New Zealand First gets…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:03:00 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Ian MacKay</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76359#post76359</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76359#post76359</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						Craig: I for one enjoy your wit and imagery and read it in many forums. (I do not think I ever talked about a strategic vote for me as in our Electorate there is not much chance of change. I suppose it could be implied.) Am great believer in the…
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:46:10 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76354#post76354</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76354#post76354</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>I wonder if it will impact the "Honest John" image?</p></blockquote><p>I'm wondering if this is going to backlash on Labour and any media outlet that touches it.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:37:38 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76351#post76351</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76351#post76351</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						Because, Ian, your 'strategic' vote might well get you the government you like, but if it's tight enough and Winston's vote is critical enough the price.  A racist immigration policy?  Preparing Kiwibank for privatisation and gutting the Reserve Bank Act?  Eroding our civil liberties and restraints on Police powers even…
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:34:10 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Rich of Observationz</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76349#post76349</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76349#post76349</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>Hey Damien: did you know this was on its way when you posted?</p><p><a href="http://www.nzherald.co.nz/politics/news/article.cfm?c_id=280&amp;objectid=10539975" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">John Key faces accusations of misleading the public about his knowledge of one of New Zealand's most notorious white collar crimes.</a></p><p>I wonder if it will impact the "Honest John" image?</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:32:24 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Gareth Ward</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76348#post76348</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76348#post76348</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>Gareth, yes, it hinges on what "coalition" means, doesn't it. The Greens aren't in coalition with Labour, they're just voting yes on confidence and supply.</p></blockquote><p>I did hear Key was specifically asked around abstentions and the like and he still said "no way" (can't find the source at the moment…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:31:17 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76344#post76344</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76344#post76344</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>I wonder if Craig ever sees anything at all in shades of Grey?</p></blockquote><p>Plenty, Ian.  Getting users and wasters the fuck out of my life is not one of them.  You know one circumstance under which I would welcome a fourth term Labour government with a smile?  Winston Raymond Peters…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:23:28 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76342#post76342</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76342#post76342</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>You gotta still respect yourself in the morning.</p></blockquote><p>Indeed, Mr G.  And in National's case, someone should remember my favourite definition of insanity: Doing the same old shit all over again and expecting a different result.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:16:44 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Ian MacKay</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76341#post76341</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76341#post76341</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						I wonder if Craig ever sees anything at all in shades of Grey? It is a very easy place to be black and white,good and evil, beautiful and ugly. However I have not heard Sofie say she would vote NZF, nor I, but I resent Craig, Bill Ralston, Hooten screaming…
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:14:46 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>simon g</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76340#post76340</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76340#post76340</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>Sofie</p><p>I think you should vote for who you really support, rather than take a tactical risk. But that's your call.</p><p>You might find this useful: put in your own views, and see where the parties stand. It's good fun!</p><p><a href="http://glassbooth.org/home/election/5/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">http://glassbooth.org/home/election/5/</a></p><p>Personally, I think there's a hell of a difference…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:12:47 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76339#post76339</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76339#post76339</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>So, small hands an'all, Whaddaya mean Craig?</p></blockquote><p>Vote for New Zealand First, whatever your motivations, you better be perfectly clear what you're voting for &mdash; and pray we're not all going to live to regret it.  As I've said on another thread, if Winston hasn't thrown his toys out of…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:10:09 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Stephen Judd</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76338#post76338</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76338#post76338</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						Gareth, yes, it hinges on what "coalition" means, doesn't it. The Greens aren't in coalition with Labour, they're just voting yes on confidence and supply. If that's what it takes, I'm sure we'll hear lots of parsing from John Key as NZF slithers in the back way.
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:09:42 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Sofie Bribiesca</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76332#post76332</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76332#post76332</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						So, small hands an'all, Whaddaya mean Craig?
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:00:02 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Gareth Ward</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76323#post76323</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76323#post76323</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						I'm completely sick of the media asking John Key a thousand variations on "are you definitely not going to rely on the NZF vote? really? like, super really?" question, but does anyone know if he has specifically been posited:  Labour led-coalition on 59, National-led coalition on 59, Winnie says "righto…
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 15:40:21 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>LegBreak</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76320#post76320</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76320#post76320</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>DC,</p><p>But if the hint went out from Labour HQ late next week that a strategic vote was in order…  Apparently it’s already being talked about on the train (which is where the Thinking Person’s Upper Hutt congregates).</p><p>Remember how Bolger shafted the Nat candidate in Wgtn Central just before…</p>
					]]></description>
				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 15:38:29 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76316#post76316</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76316#post76316</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						And, Sofie, if you're seriously thinking about casting your party vote for NZ First in the belief that it would be of strategic benefit to Labour, please ask your local candidate what policy concessions they'd support.  The racist immigration policy?  Gutting the Reserve Bank Act?  Privatising Kiwibank?  Making Ron Mark…
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 15:25:51 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>dc_red</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76315#post76315</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76315#post76315</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						Leg Break: I wouldn't hold my breath on Rimutaka. NZF mustered 5% of the party vote and 3.2% of the candidate vote there <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rimutaka_(NZ_electorate)" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">last time</a>. Even with a stronger NZF candidate and Paul Swain retired, it'll be a hard road for them.
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 15:23:24 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76314#post76314</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76314#post76314</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>Umm? May be an Anus on legs to you Craig but a vote for NZF could be an out and out strategic vote for Labour which in an area like mine is being discussed quite a bit.</p></blockquote><p>What you and your acquaintances do to their secret ballot in the privacy…</p>
					]]></description>
				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 15:21:47 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>simon g</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76311#post76311</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76311#post76311</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>I'm voting left, but I'd still bet right. </p><p>That is: to form a government. Odds on the government lasting 3 years, around 5-1. On John Key lasting that long: 100-1.</p><p>On t'other hand, if NZ First is in, and Clark gets her monster, the Nats can romp home next time.…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 15:14:30 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Morgan Nichol</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76309#post76309</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76309#post76309</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						If one of the heads was Douglas, it wouldn't be Cerberus, but some sort of dinosaur. (Somehow oblivious of a fact blatantly obvious to everyone else &ndash; that it's already extinct, thrashing and wailing as it sinks ever deeper into a tar pit.)
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 15:12:52 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>giovanni tiso</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76304#post76304</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76304#post76304</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>Conal Tuohy<br />From: Melbourne</p></blockquote><p>Why, hello there.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 15:05:28 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Sofie Bribiesca</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76303#post76303</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76303#post76303</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						Umm? May be an Anus on legs to you Craig but a vote for NZF could be an out and out strategic vote for Labour which in an area like mine is being discussed quite a bit.
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 15:00:22 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Damian Christie</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76302#post76302</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76302#post76302</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>Re: Putting all your chips on red</p><p><a href="http://www.ipredict.co.nz/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">http://www.ipredict.co.nz/</a></p><p>Go on, then. 8-) It has a limit of $1000.</p></blockquote><p>I'm betting something far more valuable than mere money Keith, I'm betting my credibility as a political pundit... :P</p><p>(yeah, sure...)</p>
					]]></description>
				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:57:57 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Kyle Matthews</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76301#post76301</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76301#post76301</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>at the casino in melbourne they had a perspex cylinder full of one million $1 coins.</p></blockquote><p>Probably safer than putting it in the bank these days.</p><p>My picks:</p><p>Act &ndash; 2 MPs &ndash; oh what a shame for Roger.<br />Greens &ndash; 9 MPs<br />Labour &ndash; 51<br />Maori Party &ndash; 7…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:54:46 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Craig Ranapia</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76299#post76299</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76299#post76299</guid>
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						<blockquote><p>really ?</kquote></p><p>Really.  They're even allowed to go out without the scarlet letter A (for Anus on Legs) pinned to their clothes.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:49:39 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Conal Tuohy</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76292#post76292</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76292#post76292</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>God no! Don't waste your money betting on Labour at ipredict when Centrebet are paying $3.40 for a Labour PM. </p><p><a href="http://centrebet.com/cust?action=GoSports&amp;ev_sub_type_id=8617" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">http://centrebet.com/cust?action=GoSports&amp;ev_sub_type_id=8617</a></p><p>I got in a couple of weeks ago when they were still paying $5 &ndash; yes FIVE BUCKS!!! WTF is all that about? A bunch of Aussie punters who…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:39:08 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Leopold</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76289#post76289</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76289#post76289</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						...nor the apparatchik Hipkins or the fat Nat guy either. So, here I am on a forlorn double vote for the Greens...
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:35:15 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Leopold</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76287#post76287</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76287#post76287</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>"So the outcome of the election depends on how smart and tactical Upper Hutt voters are."</p><p>As an Upper Huttian, so despised by all the latte-heads of Wellington, I should be flattered &ndash; <br />But, no, never Ron Mark...</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:33:17 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Che Tibby</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76284#post76284</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76284#post76284</guid>
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						<p>i had the sneaking suspicion it was only a flashy layer of coins around a hollow centre.</p><p>in other words, a bit like an actual rich person.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:30:08 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76283#post76283</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76283#post76283</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						I think you'd need to be in the US to even contemplate the logistics of obtaining 200 cubic meters of coins. I recall shovelling 3 cubic metres of gravel over a flat path took me about 4 hours once. You'd be covered in money grime afterwards, and would be picking…
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:27:17 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>dc_red</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76282#post76282</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76282#post76282</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						For some reason I remember that cylinder as being full of 500,000 $2 coins (which are really small in Ozi ... thereby making the whole process a bit easier, and costing less in perspex tubing).
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:26:17 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Glenn Pearce</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76280#post76280</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76280#post76280</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>Even a NZF voter is entitled to his/her view.</p></blockquote><p>really ?</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:25:51 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Ian MacKay</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76276#post76276</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76276#post76276</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>"at the casino in melbourne they had a perspex cylinder full of one million $1 coins."<br />I worked out that it would take 36days and nights counting continuously to get to the last coin by ones. John would feel a bit tired after counting to $50mil.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:19:46 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Ian MacKay</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76273#post76273</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76273#post76273</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						I wonder how many voters are feeling a bit insulted at the 5-headed monster theme. I wonder how a minority party voter would respond to the contention that their vote is rubbish compared to a vote to say National. Oy! Even a NZF voter is entitled to his/her view.
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:16:45 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Che Tibby</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76258#post76258</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76258#post76258</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>Personally I'd go down to my room of gold coins, and frolick like Scrooge McDuck.</p></blockquote><p>at the casino in melbourne they had a perspex cylinder full of one million $1 coins.</p><p>jesus that mtherfkcer was big. maybe 3m high and 1.5 across?</p><p>couldn't key have like 50 of those tubes?…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 13:57:51 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Richard Irvine</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76252#post76252</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76252#post76252</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>Heh. Given the Siamese quality of the Labour/Progressive relationship, does it even count as a head ?</p></blockquote><p>Maybe a bollock?</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 13:37:49 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>LegBreak</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76251#post76251</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76251#post76251</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						So the outcome of the election depends on how smart and tactical Upper Hutt voters are.
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 13:37:30 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>81stcolumn</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76250#post76250</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76250#post76250</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>Four heads good, five heads bad?</p></blockquote><p>Four heads goo five heads better !</p><p>(apologies to George Orwell)</p><p>Baaaaaa..</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 13:37:30 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>LegBreak</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76247#post76247</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76247#post76247</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>For what it’s worth:</p><p>If NZ First makes the threshold or Ron Mark wins Rimutaka then it’s a 5-headed monster.</p><p>Otherwise it’s the 4-headed monster.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 13:34:47 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>BenWilson</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76243#post76243</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76243#post76243</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>I'm hedging by saying I think the Nats will squeak in. I think Maori would definitely prefer Labour but they won't have the numbers.</p><p>This way I'm either right or happy. I'd rather be happy, of course.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 13:29:37 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Jackie Clark</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76240#post76240</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76240#post76240</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote>I haven't started cutting the lime slices yet, but I do feel a G'n'T coming on...</blockquote> Make that a rum and coke, lots of ice, and you're on.
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 13:22:03 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Mikaere Curtis</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76238#post76238</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76238#post76238</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>Four heads good, five heads bad?</p></blockquote><p>Heh. Given the Siamese quality of the Labour/Progressive relationship, does it even count as a head ?</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 13:17:02 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Mikaere Curtis</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76236#post76236</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76236#post76236</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>Well, I've had a bottle of Bombay Saphire riding on Labour forming the next government since January last year when I made a bet with my wife's conservative uncle.</p><p>Back then National had a healthy lead, but not enough to govern alone.</p><p>I haven't started cutting the lime slices yet,…</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 13:14:58 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Idiot Savant</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76235#post76235</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76235#post76235</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<blockquote><p>And if National lead a four-headed coalition (with Dunne, Act and the Maori Party), is that something less than a monster?</p></blockquote><p>Four heads good, five heads bad?</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 13:14:19 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Keith Ng</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76234#post76234</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76234#post76234</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>Re: Putting all your chips on red</p><p><a href="http://www.ipredict.co.nz/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">http://www.ipredict.co.nz/</a></p><p>Go on, then. 8-) It has a limit of $1000.</p>
					]]></description>
				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 13:13:56 +1300</pubDate>
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				<title>Public Address</title>
				<link>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76233#post76233</link>
				<guid>https://publicaddress.net/system/cafe/cracker-all-in/?p=76233#post76233</guid>
				<description><![CDATA[
						<p>Discussion from blog post.</p>
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				<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 13:13:56 +1300</pubDate>
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